No, I think it will be measured in decades. The estimates for robots/AI are constantly shifting. It used to be 2020, now it's 2030. It'll always be "just over the horizon." That's hopium for shareholder of Amazon or whoever, that want to believe they'll someday be even more profitable, thus justifying their sky high stock price.
I don't trust much of any information coming out of China. Any kind of warehouse operating on robots alone is probably just a political stunt to show off technology. In a country with a billion plus people, I doubt that irs more cost efficient to replace warehouse workers with robots.
Even when these businesses with big centralized operations move to complete automation, there is still everyone down the line, like small businesses or retail shops that are unlikely to replace humans anytime soon. I don't see how robots will ever replace plumbers, electricians, carpenters, etc. They're already in such high demand as it is right now.
(post is archived)