Very stimulating suppositions, thank you RD. I'll take a line item approach. > massive red wave up and down the ballot in most states. I don't rule this out categorically. I'm only going off the understanding that the parties are false fronts and mostly kayfabe at multiple conceptual levels. The question then becomes, *assuming* they don't want a full fledged civil war, they need a blow-off valve type event. So how big does the wave need to be? There is no doubt, we can agree, that the uniparty u.s. represents a proxy euro-sino alliance to loot or at least dismantle the petrodollar order in favor of multi-polarism. Maybe they don't feel the eurodollar model can last much longer. If thats true we should see europe very soon turn against u.s. mandates, almost on a dime, to work with russia and other currencies. Lot of the foreign reserves will experience "sloshing" if thats the case, as they figure out who the bag holder is. But thats a tangent. I looked at who the preferred wing of the uniparty is now, and said "all things being equal, could some *key* HYPED wins substitute in place of large color swings in the house?" And concluded, yes, they could. And all things being equal, thats a more controllable outcome for blowing off steam, than the big-swing predictions. On the otherhand they're building up forward momentum for something, and no one can deny that if the riots, lockdowns, warp speed, and the vax, and sub-hyper inflation had happened under anyone *except* the RNC/Trump, that the right wouldn't have been able to be placated so easily. So there is a case for a big red swing, but with the building totalitarian spirit in the u.s. regime, this would actually probably be a less favorable indicator. The small swing means the regime chooses or still prefers the slow-walk approach to increasing dictatorship. > The democrat brand is hurt so bad that another left wing party has to emerge. I didn't rule this out but I also don't draw a significant distinction between the parties either. It well could be a leftwing party that emerges. Don't think it will be too radical though, considering everyone right of stalin is a racist/bigot/white supremacist/nazi etc. Civnats maybe. That would make sense. Like a co-opted libertarianism. The regimes been unhappy ever since their anarcho-socialist pipeline was hijacked anyway. > The civil servant corps will be gutted. So we're agreeing schedule F, or something similar will be passed, but disagreeing on the magnitude. I'm going more off past performance, and I make *no excuses*, and I mean none, for who I prefer, what I hope for, or any wishes I may have. On that measure, removing all considerations outside cold hard reality, based on past performance alone, and the amount of pushback it would create, even if he tries to, he won't succeed in gutting them. I'll reassess and say, we'll see a ten percent loss of anyone in the administrative state, so maybe 200,000 people out of 2 million, and thats an upperbound. And it won't likely be on ideological grounds, which means we don't end up ahead in any way that helps us down the line. Theres precedence to consider this, especially when both parties know we are broke and need to cut some areas down to the bone. One gets a grievance narrative to rally its base for the elections, the other gets a strong win out of the gate in order to placate them. > The things that have been screwed up in the last 19 months will amazingly be fixed within a year of Trump's return. Lets say a quarter of it will be fixed, and take 2-4 years. And it certainly won't return every that died. > The dollar will switch to the gold plus plus standard. Not familiar with the "gold *plus*" standard. You talking the central bank crypto-fiat? > Aluminum free foods will become a thing. Its already happening, yeah I can see this. > Most if not all of ATF will be moved into ICE. I'll put it in the 'possible' category, but not necessarily 'probable' category. Guns and abortions are still some of the most effective methods of public division, the ones that offer the cleanest dividing ideological lines, and having given the right the abortion issue, I don't see them letting us keep our wins on the guns front. And the ATF is the face of the campaign against guns. Of course dismantling them, in theory, would be a 'cheap' win because they're obviously incompetent and have effectively failed to stop the gun rights movement. At least, being incompetent, the regime gets a cheap win on placating the rightwings base, and can put that incompetence to use: failing to stop immigration. Yes, I could see this as a real possibility. Downsizing the ATF significantly to "shore up" our borders. "splitting" the agency is what they would call it, with allusions to JFKs "shattering" (the cia to the wind). Sounds like you're ending them without ending them. And it looks like a signficant downbeat/knife-to-the-heart for any agency it happens to, but really, given their track record, its not. Those that mismanged it, get off scott-free, with a new area of operation, on a more pressing front (immigration), and the regime gets to assign its proven loyalists at the ATF onto said front to better *guarantee* control of outcomes. The 'failure' of the RNC wing of the uniparty to build the all or stop immigration offers us history to predict this outcome, combine with the previous calls and outrages of the gun rights movement for dismantling the ATF. Needing to *look* like they're *going* to do something about immigration is also a motive. Without disrupting small, medium, and large businesses, dependent on the largesse of cheap labor (as well as the u.s. GDP). Yes, I would give this a "probable" rating over the next 3-5 years. > An America First type teachers union will be created and Republican governors will only negotiate with them. More probable than the break up of the teachers unions, yes. Attacking the teachers unions would provoke all the others, and the regime is uninterested in outraging their own *real* base. This, combine with the predictions of some new party forming, and the widespread calls for debt relief, makes me believe they may in fact try just what you're suggesting--coopting and flipping the teachers unions before a whats left of public trust in public education is lost potentially for good. They won't risk that. > Shocker: CNN will become a fairly conservative media source. 'fairly' conservative is being generous, b ut they'll definitely move towards more civnat type content if only to save the shredded legitimacy of the alphabet agencies propaganda organs. It'll take a generation to restore them, if they're lucky. > Our military will continue to pull away from the competitors. Which do you mean, falling behind or pulling ahead? If the u.s. regime is co-opted by foreign powers, and theres no good reasons to believe they aren't, then our defense technology progress will continue to be stolen, sabotaged, and commoditized for the world. The isolionist push from public sentiment, being broke as a nation, the move to multi-polarism all indicate an opening up of our weapons technology industry even further, combine with less and less expansionism. We'll do like rome and attempt to retreat to what we can absolutely defend, as the world shrinks around us. Because this is what empires do post-peak when they encounter the limits of their ability to expand. Retreat to survive a long-tail decline, or collapse. > Our military will actually be busier with many quick win opportunities. Trump was not militant and avoided war on numerous occasions. Foreign control of the u.s. government precludes these victories. From what I can tell our only apetite is for long-form wars that are mostly bomb-flat undefended regions, and bulldoze the ghettos that pop up from the ashes, then make bank pushing money to international contractors to rebuild. > People will find out that a significant portion of the funding for major social media and other tech players comes from the CIA who has been collecting their data for years. Goes along with the theme of "the veil being lifted", which someone at an international scale, wants to happen in the west. > They go the way of AOL accounts or be put under new management. Probably the latter. > What is left of the DS will be searching for a new money machine. Unfortunately that may be terrorism in conjunction with the stock markets. Definitely, on both fronts. But I'm predicting a more general expansion of terrorism as a social trend and phenomenon. Actual violence will be sporadic, because I suspect the alphabet agencies will soon be told by various militaries to knock it off, lay low, and keep their noses mostly clean, simply because their profiles for this decades are 'too hot'--they're generating too much publicity and pushback. > Fixing health care will become a major, major issue. Shades of obama, and considering romneycare, and the civnat isolationist push, and combine with "ok infrastructure." because what else are they going to address as internal problems? Well out falls "human infrastructure." Ties into the general narrative discussion of "debt" and "investing in people" and big enough cross section of the public is concerned about it, that this absolutely should be something we will see.