Yeah you lost me there buddy…of course they know how vulnerable the U.S.,
I think they know it is in the absolute sense. But I think enough of them are in their own bubble that they're not 100% certain that a big move now isn't still very risky.
What I'm saying is they're way overestimating the risk and cost based on the "wounded cornered animal" theory of conflict. Makes perfect sense, considering thats one of Sun Tzus core tenets "always leave your enemy an exit or else they will fight back twice as hard."
But past certain point of no return, this rule inverts.
I know they can win this, but they aren't sure they can. its less about them not being fully aware of the precarious state america is in, and more about their risk-aversion over-estimating the risk and cost of the implication.
A good strong infrastructure attack on the u.s. right now, by a foreign power, would kill us outright as a superpower. Thats it. Thats where america is right now.
Achilles heel fully up for strike and they keep worrying "what if we miss, or dont cut deep enough?"
When, if they wait, theres a very good chance, this vulnerability will be fixed and never prevent itself again.
Which is why I've wrote in other posts "america is likely, going into this century, the weakest it will ever be, assuming it doesn't first collapse."
(post is archived)