Putin isn't going to invade, he wants a neutral country on his border, not one overflowing with NATO missiles and separatists
Biden is laying the groundwork for his own provocation by telling everyone "Russia is planning a False Flag, be afraid!!!"
Ukraine may initiate one of its own to drag America into a conflict of it's own making
Either way, Biden is desperate to halt Nord2 and stop Russia having a hold over Europe
Putin doesn't care about Biden's sanctions, he knows America is weak now.
If anything is going to happen it will be in the next two weeks while Europe has the most need for gas. I'm thinking Putin might try a cyber attack on the Ukraine, because they can't respond militarily to that.
I'm thinking Putin might try a cyber attack on the Ukraine,
The "cyber pandemic" may have been the WEF et al "laying the ground rules" for any anticipated conflicts.
Last time germany and russia had a chance of working together economically, we had a world war.
Either way, Biden is desperate to halt Nord2 and stop Russia having a hold over Europe
This is at the heart of it. If the german-russian gas pipeline suceeds, then russia seizes leverage over eastern europe, and eventually splinters NATO, breaking containment and theories like the heartland thesis go in the dust bin.
More and more, whats meant to look like "a big bluster and much adieu about nothing" is failing on the 'much adieu' front. If they wanted the "rapid build up to war and then nothing happens" narrative, or the "build up to a boil, while everyone is convinced it won't amount to anything", I think they've overcooked the plot, even as rapid as the build up already was.
I don't think, because of this, that the u.s. has good control of the perception over this, but maybe thats my own bias. And we certainly don't have the initiative to decide the shape of the conflict, even if we do act first.
Balls still in putin's court, for now.
Edit: I don't think they're gonna allow him the buffer state, like they did with the u.s. using china's proxy (north korea) to drum up excuses for more arms sales. Not unless theres some deal they can cut here. Like the ukraine-nat-gas instability as an excuse to sell more green/solar to europe.
But with the cost and unreliability of 'renewable' electricity and social instability in the UK and europe, I don't see how they can go more 'green' without risking civil strife.
WEF
I think this lies outside of the WEF Great Reset agenda, this has been brewing since 2013
Balls still in putin's court
Yep, Putin has Biden where he wants him, nobody is rushing to admit Ukraine into NATO, so Biden is being made to look impotent because Europe is not buying his fear mongering. Germany needs Nord2 because Merkel screwed up by dumping nuclear and is having to burn coal until 2038. Note that Germany did not send weapons to Ukraine to avoid annoying Putin.
Putin has a lot to gain just by squatting on the border and yanking Biden's chain for the next 3 years. He might even be waiting for a crisis in the USA or Taiwan to take his chance. Biden isn't going to impose sanctions because that just pushes Biden into the arms of China.
I don't think arm sales are necessarily pushing this, the US is still playing catchup with hypersonic missiles and they are not cheap. Hopefully someone in Washington recognises the liability Biden would present in any conflict
The UK Gov talks about dumping gas for heat pumps but it is not a practical option for our housing stock for decades yet. We will probably move forward with some version of the plan regardless. Europe is probably going to remain stable for a while yet, there isn't too much going wrong (like the biggest thing they have to bitch about is Boris having a party...)
WEF
Substitute WEF for "whatever greater big-bad happens to be real and actually in charge." I was being lazy.
because Merkel screwed up by dumping nuclear and is having to burn coal until 2038.
I doubt it was accidental.
In light of that detail this looks more like europe manufacturing a crisis, duping its ally the u.s. into supporting the crisis, and leaving us holding the bag while they flee the sinking ship, into the arms of the opponents of the u.s.
Smart move I suppose.
I don't think arm sales are necessarily pushing this,
I think theres a confluence of factors, goals, and incentives at play here.
It would be trivial to show the u.s. isn't up to hypersonics standards by putting u.s. missile tech in ukraine, only to see it shot down by russian hypersonics in an "accident"
I imagine thats an easy fortune made in put-options against defense manufacturers, but don't take my word for it.
The UK Gov talks about dumping gas for heat pumps but it is not a practical option for our housing stock for decades yet.
Yes but see crisis is an opportunity to the UK government, like most western regimes. It's an opportunity to consolidate.
Europe is probably going to remain stable for a while yet, there isn't too much going wrong (like the biggest thing they have to bitch about is Boris having a party...)
What do you think of competing currency collapses/hyperinflations?
Theres been talk that the euro is on its death bed, so if it collapses or hyperinflates faster than usd, what would that mean?
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