These numbers are dependent on numbers tested. If you don't get sick enough to seek medical care, you won't get tested and won't count in those numbers. This is the one variable being ignored.
Don't believe the current mortality rate, it is horribly skewed because it is based off people who have been tested positive 2 times.
Well then chances are numbers are much higher then regarding infection
And the overall rate of death likely remains unchanged
It's 2% death in a "normal" setting on average
Dead people are dead people, they aren't tested twice
If there’s more people sick than tested for, the death rate will be lower. If 100 people are confirmed to be sick with the flu, and 3 of them die, that’s 3% mortality. But if 1000 have the flu (100 confirmed and 900 unconfirmed) the mortality rate becomes 0.3%.
The current mortality rate sounds scary and horrible, but it is a nearly useless number because we don’t know how many are actually sick. We only know how many are tested and confirmed to have it and how many of those died.
>If there’s more people sick than tested for, the death rate will be lower.
No, this assumption makes no case of reality
You can have people dying from pneumonia for instance, without being identified as in fact dying of pneumonia induced by corona
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/02/infected-coronavirus-200210205212755.html
>"You have mild cases, which look like the common cold, which have some respiratory symptoms, sore throat, runny nose, fever, all the way through pneumonia. And there can be varying levels of severity of pneumonia all the way through multi-organ failure and death," she told reporters in Geneva on February 7.
And the current mortality rate is anything but scary
2 fucking percent, the joke
It's the infection rate that is actually, worrying...
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