This headline demonstrates how terrible most people are at statistics. :
~42,000,000 UK vaccinated ~24,650,000 UK unvaccinated
Probability of dying from Covid in the UK if you're vaccinated: 402 / 42,000,000 = 0.001% Probability of dying from Covid in the UK if you're unvaccinated: 253 / 24,650,000 = 0.001%
The risk is the same, not greater.
Are you looking at Table 5 on page 18/19?
If so you are a fucking idiot.
402/742 = .54 (54%) "Of the 742 that died within 28 days after a positive covid test result, 402 (54%) were vaccinated with 2 doses"
253/742 = .34 (34%) "Of the 742 that died within 28 days after a positive covid test, 34% were unvaccinated"
And most of those fuckers in the sample for that scenario are over age 50 670/742 =.90 (90%)
The total sample size of vaccinated delta cases was 47,008, so 402/47,008 = .008 (.08%) of the 47,008 vaccinated delta cases died.
Or 253 of 151,054 unvaccinated delta cases died (.01%)
I think that's 8x more likely to die...so the title would be "vaccinated delta cases in an emergency care unit are 8x more likely to die"
1 out of every 125 vaccinated delta cases in an emergency care unit will die.
1 out of every 1,000 unvaccinated delta case in an emergency care unit will die.
1,000/125 = 8x
You don't just take that 402 and 253 and apply it to the whole population dipshit. Not all 42,000,000 vaccinated European kikes are delta cases dying at a emergency care unit within 28 days after a positive covid test.
TLDR; The article is right and both of you suck at math.
The comparison is of Infection fatality rates between the vaccinated and unvaccinated. IFR is [number of deaths] / [number of people in that group] The multiplication factor of two number is determined by division. ( I can't believe I actually have to say this ...)
e.g. 100 / 20 = 5
In other words 20 is 1/5th of 100 or 100 is 5x 20
Let's put it all together.....
IFR rates
- Unvaccinated 151,054 / 253 = 0.0016748
- Vaccinated 402 / 47008 = 0.0085517
Comparison
- 0.00855 / 0.00167 = 5.1197
In other words you are 5.11 times more likely to die with the vaccine.
You don't just take that 402 and 253 and apply it to the whole population dipshit.
Dipshit, that's exactly how you calculate risk.
So you think 42,000,000 vaccinated people in the UK test positive for the delta variant and are sitting in an emergency care unit right now?
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