![Russia Going To Obliterate Ukraine Now That The Ground Is About To Freeze. Check The Links. [1082x1270 - 340KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/5NNhHu.png){kind=link}
Lots of talk, little destruction. The ground was fine all summer. Why didn't they get it done? Get it over with already.
We'll see whether it happens. But the ground was not "fine" all summer.
The area around the Dnirpo River (what has become the natural FLOT) is too at to roll armor through most of the year. It's why Russia invaded when they did last year and then stopped their advance when they did. Tanks cannot go through much of Eastern/Central Ukraine much of the year.
By February it will be cold enough long enough for ground to garden enough to put armor on it without being too funeled to certain corridors.
So if it's coming it'll come in mid February.
If it doesn't come then it ain't coming.
Interesting. I figured the soil would be firm in the heat of summer. I've seen so many articles about how they need to expedite before winter rains arrive.
(Some typos in my original but I think you got it)
In short they are up against "winter rains" - but it's end of winter rains.
The rainy season in Ukraine begins in March and continues through August. So there is this short window in late winter to roll tanks through with true freedom of movement. The wet ground has frozen and hardened enough by February after several months of dry cold to support armor, but by the end of March enough rain has fallen to thaw the ground and bring back the mud.
It's why last year right before the invasion every news channel predicted an invasion "any day now" and acted like there was some intel leak or genius breach into Russian plans. Not really, there's just only so much window to get your tanks anywhere with full freedom of movement.
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