So the Rand Corporation just put out a new report. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA739-4.html It is 130 pages long. It is a tabletop scenario of China attacking Japan then occupying Taiwan then taking over the Southern Ryukyu Islands. It reads similar to the Event 201 exercise. For anyone who wants to be able to forecast where this may be going I highly recommend the read. Also. this: https://fortune.com/2022/04/12/taiwan-issues-war-handbook-citizens-qr-codes-stockpile-lists-worries-china-attack/ Summary of report: US defending Japan against a major Chinese attack would likely require maintaining some forward-deployed U.S. naval forces and pre-positioned materiel in the Asia-Pacific. Given China's ability to target bases and ports, the United States would still need access to a large number of wartime operating locations in partner countries to increase the survivability of its forces involved in the defense of Japan. China Attacks Japan’s Armed Forces and Economy PLA Attacks on Japan After Occupying Taiwan, China Seizes the Southern Ryukyu Islands PLA Approach to Seizing the Southern Ryukyus. Japanese and U.S. Approaches IThe United States Imposes a Distant Blockade on China During a War Between China and Japan