A positive test has about a 2% chance of also having disease by my reckoning. Am I right? Can't see the answer for lack of twitter account. 1/51 to be exact.
A positive test has about a 2% chance of also having disease by my reckoning. Am I right? Can't see the answer for lack of twitter account. 1/51 to be exact.
Pretty close by my calculations (https://poal.co/s/Health/729781/1b1d828f-9af8-46a9-93b0-837ba8950411#cmnts)
I got ~1.9%
But had to make some assumptions due to insufficient data.
Pretty close by my calculations (https://poal.co/s/Health/729781/1b1d828f-9af8-46a9-93b0-837ba8950411#cmnts)
I got ~1.9%
But had to make some assumptions due to insufficient data.
1/1000 chance of true positive (0.001%) minus 5% false positives.
0.00095%
I think, i'm not a doctor or mathemagician
https://pic8.co/sh/2gHKje.png
1/1000 chance of true positive (0.001%) minus 5% false positives.
0.00095%
I think, i'm not a doctor or mathemagician
The patient in front of you had a positive test. 1/1000 it is true positive 50/1000 false positive. 949/1000 are now excluded for negative test.
I estimate the odds now as 1 true positive per 51 true+false positive.
1/51 or about 2%.
The patient in front of you had a positive test.
1/1000 it is true positive
50/1000 false positive.
949/1000 are now excluded for negative test.
I estimate the odds now as 1 true positive per 51 true+false positive.
1/51 or about 2%.