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The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) article, titled “Scientists sure warming world made Spain’s storm more intense,” ties recent flash flooding in Spain to climate change. This is false. Data refutes claims that flooding has gotten worse in Europe amid modestly warming temperatures. In addition, the story ignores Spain’s long history of sometimes catastrophic floods due to many of its cities being situated in narrow mountain valleys.

“No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change,” Friederike Otto, Ph.D., who is co-leader of World Weather Attribution (WWA), told the BBC. “With every fraction of a degree of fossil fuel warming, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rainfall.”

The problem is, neither Otto nor the BBC cited any data to back up the claim that this storm’s moisture content was enhanced by warming, because none exists. Rather the attribution is based on the projections of flawed computer models and is typical of the type of “research” quickly published by WWA. As with all of WWA studies Climate Realism has discussed previously, they suffer from the logical fallacy of assuming what they are attempting to prove. WWA’s research assumes climate change causes or contributes to a particular weather event and then uses computer models to project how big the effect was. That is not how one conducts science. Climate Realism has refuted similar attribution claims on multiple occasions, here, here, and here for instance.

> The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) article, titled “Scientists sure warming world made Spain’s storm more intense,” ties recent flash flooding in Spain to climate change. This is false. Data refutes claims that flooding has gotten worse in Europe amid modestly warming temperatures. In addition, the story ignores Spain’s long history of sometimes catastrophic floods due to many of its cities being situated in narrow mountain valleys. > “No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change,” Friederike Otto, Ph.D., who is co-leader of World Weather Attribution (WWA), told the BBC. “With every fraction of a degree of fossil fuel warming, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rainfall.” > The problem is, neither Otto nor the BBC cited any data to back up the claim that this storm’s moisture content was enhanced by warming, because none exists. Rather the attribution is based on the projections of flawed computer models and is typical of the type of “research” quickly published by WWA. As with all of WWA studies Climate Realism has discussed previously, they suffer from the logical fallacy of assuming what they are attempting to prove. WWA’s research assumes climate change causes or contributes to a particular weather event and then uses computer models to project how big the effect was. That is not how one conducts science. Climate Realism has refuted similar attribution claims on multiple occasions, here, here, and here for instance.

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