I predicted this.
It’s sad that I seem to understand large language models better than the researchers being paid millions per year to develop them. Of course, no one is going to pay me millions per year to tell them large language models are a dead end when it comes to intelligence.
“The current chains-of-thought are not always faithful to the underlying reasoning process, but we’ll probably solve that in short order.”
I am going to make an easy, safe prediction on this. I predict they will not solve that in short order.
Further, I predict they will not solve this problem anytime soon, nor with anything that can be considered a large language model.
Sounds like a great time to get in on the bubble. Even if you fail to produce anything for a decade other than what basically exists right now you can pay yourself $10 million a year to "work on it".
There is definitely money to be made from all the fools still investing in LLMs, but the smart people are saying the AI bubble has already burst, so it wouldn’t last long.
yeah, We will see I guess. I have friends working with this stuff that are saying "its the end of the world" basically. It's really hard to know what is going on in the space.
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