Hard to tell This was 3 days ago https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/were-totally-dark-japan-not-doing-enough-contain-outbreak-diamond-princess-passengers >>Exiled Chinese billionaire says true death toll closer to 50k, 1.5 million infected Given what china hides and what china doesn't know... I wouldn't rule those numbers out. But who's that guy? I mean I can pull number out of my ass too We know it's pretty hard to detect accurately, we know china isn't exactly a model of transparency. China has a vested interest in downplaying the problem, for various reasons, political and economical ... That being said, the big unknown is africa For some reason, there are almost no cases. I find that hard to believe, and again the detection methods are lame