![Hmm, I wonder why... [714x203 - 18KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/h4UmJJ.jpg){kind=link}
Trust them or not, doesn’t change the fact that if you take a graph showing an upward trend and then average five spots below the highest spot, of course they’re going to average out to significantly lower than the highest spot, even if the highest spot is perfectly in line with the trend
Here’s a source I trust that shows a marked increase in deaths vs a 5 year average
I’m on my phone so I put this together really quickly, but hopefully this explains it enough for you. There has been an upward trend in deaths since 2011. Here is an example graph showing the last 6 years of that upward trend:
https://pic8.co/sh/Xxpf7f.jpeg
Now, if you average the last 5 years, circled in blue, OF COURSE they’re going to have a significantly lower average than the sixth year.
Your “source that you trust” is telling you factual information in a misleading way.
Did you look at the graph? Average and range and it spikes when the first wave hit, after that it levels out, and now it’s beginning to divulge again due to the 2nd wave.
Your explanation doesn’t fit the data, if it did then 2020 would be higher for all months, but it isn’t.
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