![Hmm, I wonder why... [714x203 - 18KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/h4UmJJ.jpg){kind=link}
Here’s a source I trust that shows a marked increase in deaths vs a 5 year average
I’m on my phone so I put this together really quickly, but hopefully this explains it enough for you. There has been an upward trend in deaths since 2011. Here is an example graph showing the last 6 years of that upward trend:
https://pic8.co/sh/Xxpf7f.jpeg
Now, if you average the last 5 years, circled in blue, OF COURSE they’re going to have a significantly lower average than the sixth year.
Your “source that you trust” is telling you factual information in a misleading way.
Did you look at the graph? Average and range and it spikes when the first wave hit, after that it levels out, and now it’s beginning to divulge again due to the 2nd wave.
Your explanation doesn’t fit the data, if it did then 2020 would be higher for all months, but it isn’t.
The example chart shows the total deaths for each year. Waves within a single year are irrelevant.
2015-2019 all had fewer deaths than 2020, at an increasing rate, like in the example chart. If you average the increasing years, of course they will have a lower average than the final year.
I don’t really know how to make it simpler than that
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