You're gonna call bullshit on this, and rightly so. I did the same to others before I had a better understanding of whats going on. And in a week or threes time, I'm gonna seem like jesus, because mark my words, this shit is prophetic. MARK EM DOWN, and pay the fuck attention to what I write to you now. It'll be the most important thing you read over the coming month.
Lets just jump right into the numbers for starters:
9700 infected on jan 30th 2020, china (official numbers) 19700 infected on feb 3rd 2020. So the doubling time is just below 4 days.
That is in fact a 15.464% growth rate day over day and an 86% infection rate, i.e. for every 100 people exposed to this 86 will contract it.
This does NOT in fact attack people "only over 60", it's hitting the young, the old, and everyone inbetween. Sick people, people who were healthy and young prior, doesn't matter. So it turns out the mainstream narrative being spread that "its only killing older males who were already sick" is dead wrong.
How much you want to bet that the line "it mostly impacts asians" is also a lie being spread by various news outlets? I'd fucking bet money on it.
According to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#repro "A more recent study is indicating a Ro as high as 4.08.[22]. This value substantially exceeds WHO's estimate (made on Jan. 23) of between 1.4 and 2.5[13], and is also higher than recent estimates between 3.6 and 4.0 and between 2.24 to 3.58"
and that lines up with the calculations here based on the official numbers.
According to other reports, the official line by china is that "hospitalizations are on average 10 days before each death or cure". So when you're calculating case fatality rate, you have to take the total number of infected from 10 days ago against the current dead, NOT the amount of currently infected.
Today is Feb. 6th, 2020. Jan 27th is ten day ago. The total infected (official numbers) on that day were 4.4k
565/4400 = 0.1284 or 12.84% So this thing is in fact more lethal than sars from the grim picture the numbers paint. I don't want to believe it, because of all the bullshit scaremongering from world media over the years. I laughed at people saying "ruh roh! This looks like the big one guis!" but people, this is legit starting to look like "the big one."
I think the internet, or at least I, have gathered enough information to come up with some plausible explanations.
There are two scenarios here: This thing is a bad flu and MASSIVELY overblown. but that does NOT explain the media trying to downplay it. All previous 'virus' and 'pandemic' hoaxes in the media played it up for maximum impact. They've played this up somewhat, but the early stages and the 'potential' threat from what the current data indicates, suggests if it were as bad as this looks, the goto plan by authorities in the u.s. and media would in fact be to downplay this massively in proportion to the danger. In the opposite case, a virus hoax, if this were in fact a hoax or overblown flu, then the media would blow this massively out of proportion, pumping panic into the streets. The opportunity to distract from something like the failing (now failed) impeachments, or really cause havoc in the markets would be irresistible.
No, the media has mostly downplayed this. We're seeing almost no data out of the u.s. media about u.s. infection "only a handful" as it were. We know those numbers are bullshit. Time and again the official media got it wrong. Time and again the autists on the chans and elsewhere predicted the truth, right before the media eventually admitted it.
Now markets are based on front running, so information is money. If this were TRULY bad as they claim the stock market would be in a sell right now, instead of a rally. But they're NOT claiming it's as bad as it looks, in fact they're saying the OPPOSITE "it's not as bad as it looks." Why?
Because markets are based on frontrunning bad and good news, as I already wrote. Buy before something goes up. Sell before something goes down. I predict very shortly, when the news about what this, what this disease actually is hits the markets, that there will be a panic short that analysts will, for years to come, characterize as nothing else than a "nuclear bomb going off in the financial industry". It explains the buying behavior. The brokerages and hedges already bought ahead of the gains, and likely already have their put options and plans to sell. They're making money ahead of the panic.
Because this is in fact, the big one.
The other explanation is something completely different:
The scenario and outbreak simulation run by Bill Gates is in full force. None of us really know whats going on in china. We only see what we see on the news and from centralized sources such as https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6, run by people we don't know, whos motives we don't know. All the 'outbreak' is, is red dots on a map. The intention is to play the stock market into helping to wreck the u.s. economy (and throw the elections), cutting the market's throat in the process because the system they've been gaming has gamed the information they've relied on for years. Whoever it is who wants this in the given scenario, for whatever reasons, the market is no longer their useful idiots: they're gonna liquidate wall street.
It may well be the intention to push some new emergency powers or vaccination campaign, or major federal regulations to control online media for "spreading fake news that caused massive economic damage to the u.s.!", something worse, and bigger, by an order of magnitude, than the patriot act.
I mean do you KNOW anyone thats sick with this? Have you actually met anyone thats legit sick with this? Have you even met someone in person who in turn has first hand knowledge? All the numbers we have, and information , it's all from official sources. The "unofficial sources" were badly made chinese 'first hand witnesses', who's apparent hysterics again AND AGAIN appeared, at first glance, to be a lot of piss poor actors, but who knows.
In summary:
Scenario One: This is WAY FUCKING WORSE than anyone, including myself, ever possibly fucking imagined. It's going to kill ten million American's and two hundred million+ people around the globe.
Scenario Two: This is ENTIRELY, ONE HUNDRED PERCENT fake, and a MASSIVE social engineering scheme for some very sick, selfish agendas on wall street, and washington d.c. And what they have coming down the pipeline is worse than TSA, DHS, and the patriot act, combine.
Scenario Three: It is both scenario one and two.
No matter the case, none of us can afford to risk taking this thing for granted any more, even with the history of past state run hoaxes.
In a week, two weeks, maybe a month, but no longer than that, we will definitely know which of these three scenarios is the correct one, and it will in fact turn out to be one of these three outcomes, and no other. This is not a nothingburger. Be it a hoax, or an actual pandemic, either scenario, the fucking we're about to experience is going to be raw and real.
And the internet hasn't had it's "OH SHIT MAYBE WE WERE WRONG" moment yet, out of all the past events.
Get your shitting pants on. Cause it's about to hit the fan.
Too bad the official numbers are bullshit based on actions being taken. We may not know what's going on in China, but if it was here in the US, Washington would be exploding right now and so far it isn't and as slow as social media is to censor something like this, we'd know. The incubation period is coming to an end for Orange and Los Angeles County and so far nothing. We don't even know how easily transmittable it is other than it looks like you can't become infected by sitting next to someone on a flight.
A lot of your speculation could be wrong because China's not telling the truth. A lot of what we suspect is accurate is speculation, because China's not telling the truth. I'm not saying the feds will be telling us the truth, but it will be a lot harder to hide the truth here.
You left out a scenario, this could be a test to see how effective social media censoring is in the West. If it is this one, then we're already fucked and putting brown pants on won't matter.
And it will always be scenario 3, governments won't let a crisis like this go to waste.
Too bad the official numbers are bullshit based on actions being taken.
If the official numbers are bullshit as you say (and of course they are), then the logical conclusion is they're too fucking low, so the implication here is much worse.
Just because washington isn't falling to pieces right now, doesn't mean it won't be in a week. Hopefully you're right.
The scenario for testing the effectiveness of social media censoring isn't mutually exclusive. A lot of the numbers I cited I took from officials sources, which we know is inaccurate, but which we also know don't account for lag time (aren't up to date) and are likely underplayed rather than overplayed. Although in retrospect, china did try to use the outbreak as an excuse to weasel out of the trade deal and buy time.
I forgot something you left out, TDS.
The MSM will absolutely make it look worse here than what it actually is in the hopes that it wrecks the economy and gets POTUS booted out of office. So the MSM has tons to gain from a corona virus outbreak in the USA.
If the official numbers are bullshit as you say (and of course they are), then the logical conclusion is they're too fucking low, so the implication here is much worse.
I'm certain it is at least 10x worse based on their actions. I wouldn't be surprised if there's millions sick and up to 100,000 (or more) dead from it. The initial numbers (early to mid-January) are stupid because you have more people sick in a city of 11 million people than what they were reporting and they were quarantining.
Just because washington isn't falling to pieces right now, doesn't mean it won't be in a week. Hopefully you're right.
I'm fairly confident in my speculation regarding Washington. Their Patient 0 arrived the 15th of January. If the incubation period is 14 days, infected wave 1 would be showing symptoms and wave 2 would be about to start.
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