What epidemiologists have been saying for over a year is that lockdowns don't do anything to reduce the spread of contagious diseases, they just spread it out over time and that when herd immunity is finally reached every jurisdiction will have similar numbers regardless of the actions they took. They warned that the more restrictive a state was, the more they'd experience a yo-yo effect as restrictions ease, spread begins anew, and restrictions come back. Now we're seeing exactly that. States that were less restricted got larger spikes, but now they're through the worst of it. The states that locked down are going through another spike, as they will continue to do until they reach herd immunity.