So far https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries Italy - Cases: 27,980 - Deaths: 2,158 - Recovered: 2,749 _ that's 7.71265189% death rate France - Cases: 6,633 - Deaths: 148 - Recovered: 12 _ 2.2312679% Germany - Cases: 8,604 - Deaths: 23 Recovered: 67 _ 0.26731753% Spain - Cases: 11,409 - Deaths: 510 - Recovered: 1,028 _ 4.47015514% United States - Cases: 5,696 - Deaths: 97 - Recovered: 74 _ 1.70294944% UK - Cases: 1,950 - Deaths: 56 - Recovered: 52 _ 2.87179487% South Korea - Cases: 8,320 - Deaths: 81 - Recovered: 1,401 _ 0.97355769% Iran - Cases: 16,169 - Deaths: 988 - Recovered: 5,389 _ 6.11045828% China - Cases: 80,881 - Deaths: 3,226 - Recovered: 68,715 _ 3.98857581% If people want to play with the calculator https://percentagecalculator.pro I plan for an average of 2% death rate Whatever the death rate, it's all about the percentage of the population that gets infected over a year/given period of time If it's 40% of the pop infected with a 2% death rate, over a one year period you have a 2 million dead problem for a population the size of the US