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Nice stretch, but you can’t simply average all the tax refunds over the entire population.

Check out how many real taxpayers there actually are. Not all of them are overpaying.

Then do the maths again.

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What, is it 10% of the population, 30 million? Then it'd be ~ $100 per taxpayer.

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You’re still estimating.

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Yes. I couldn't find that particular stat. I did find that something over 150 million people file, but I didn't see how many were benefited by the EITC vs how many actually made money and were taxed on it.

That stat would actually be interesting.