Musk's BS promises:
- 24 hour turnaround
- 10 flights between major refurbishments
- 100 flights per booster
- second stage re-use
Reality:
- 1 month turnaround
- major refurbishment after every flight
- 97% recovery rate = 32 reuses before wreck
- second stage reuse not feasible
- all the same old promises originally made about Falcon now being made about Starship
Musk's BS promises:
- 24 hour turnaround
- 10 flights between major refurbishments
- 100 flights per booster
- second stage re-use
Reality:
- 1 month turnaround
- major refurbishment after every flight
- 97% recovery rate = 32 reuses before wreck
- second stage reuse not feasible
- all the same old promises originally made about Falcon now being made about Starship
Musk's BS promises:
- Before Starship was the main focus
Reality:
- Falcon 9's market isn't big enough to waste money on improving something that already works perfectly fine and is not gonna be profitable, and that's why SpaceX R&D is now mainly focused on Starship.
FTFY
> Musk's BS promises:
> * Before Starship was the main focus
> Reality:
> * Falcon 9's market isn't big enough to waste money on improving something that already works perfectly fine and is not gonna be profitable, and that's why SpaceX R&D is now mainly focused on Starship.
FTFY
Oh yeah, that's the one I missed. Costs of Falcon were supposed to be an order of magnitude less than expendables. Actually at best marginally cheaper than comparable expendables. Given the way SpaceX has been subsidized, it's possible that commercial launches are being priced at a big loss. The conspiracy theory take is that Falcon's claimed cost advantages from reuse were a cover for USgov's political agenda to buy back dominance of the commercial space launch market.
Oh yeah, that's the one I missed. Costs of Falcon were supposed to be an order of magnitude less than expendables. Actually at best marginally cheaper than comparable expendables. Given the way SpaceX has been subsidized, it's possible that commercial launches are being priced at a big loss. The conspiracy theory take is that Falcon's claimed cost advantages from reuse were a cover for USgov's political agenda to buy back dominance of the commercial space launch market.
(post is archived)