Neil Ferguson - the same modeller behind the bungled mad cow disease modelling that lead to the unnecessary culling of Britian's cattle.
He was wrong from the start because his modelling software is a cluster fuck. Before Google tried to clean it up, it was a single .C file of spaghetti code. Even after clean up it was still non-deterministic and so wildly varying that they would average the output of many runs. This has been known, in the COVID sense, since 2020.
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