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153

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[–] • 2 pts

Related:

In the book "The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival" by Sir John Bagot Glubb, the rise and fall of some empires throughout history are noted. The durations in years that each existed ranged from 207 to 267 years with the average being 238 years.

The United States of America is currently 246 years old (1775 to 2021 = 246 years).

The nation Dates of rise and fall Duration in years
Assyria 859-612B.C . 247
Persia 538-330B.C. 208
Greece 331-100B.C. 231
Roman Republic 260-27B.C. 233
Roman Empire 27B.C. - A.D. 180 207
Arab Empire A.D. 634-880 246
Mameluke Empire 1250-1517 267
Ottoman Empire 1320-1570 250
Spain 1500-1750 250
Romanov Russia 1682-1916 234
Britain 1700-1950 250

Summary excerpt:

As numerous points of interest have arisen in the course of this essay, I close with a brief summary, to refresh the reader’s mind.

(a) We do not learn from history because our studies are brief and prejudiced. (b) In a surprising manner, 250 years emerges as the average length of national greatness. (c) This average has not varied for 3,000 years. Does it represent ten generations? (d) The stages of the rise and fall of great nations seem to be:

  • The Age of Pioneers (outburst)
  • The Age of Conquests
  • The Age of Commerce
  • The Age of Affluence
  • The Age of Intellect
  • The Age of Decadence

(e) Decadence is marked by:

  • Defensiveness
  • Pessimism
  • Materialism
  • Frivolity
  • An influx of foreigners
  • The Welfare State
  • A weakening of religion

(f) Decadence is due to:

  • Too long a period of wealth and power
  • Selfishness
  • Love of money
  • The loss of a sense of duty

(g) The life histories of great states are amazingly similar, and are due to internal factors. (h) Their falls are diverse, because they are largely the result of external causes. (i) History should be taught as the history of the human race, though of course with emphasis on the history of the student’s own country.

As a note for perspective with the USA as an example, the American Revolutionary War (The Age of Pioneers/"outburst") is stated as having occurred from 1775-1783, and thusly the following "Ages" also occurred in sequence as they have in empires throughout history.

The Age of Decadence is well underway and signifies that we are nearly at the point of total collapse. From 1783 until 2021 is a period of 238 years that the USA empire existed. Regardless of which dates one chooses to constitute the marking of the 'start' of the USA empire and the 'end' of the USA empire, the USA is right on schedule with total collapse. Though depending on what date is chosen for its 'start', its 'end' is likely to be within just a few years or even within a mere couple of months.

[–] • 1 pt

or even within a mere couple of months.

September

[–] • 0 pt

Genuinely curious about the specific month of September.

[–] • 1 pt

Eviction Moratorium ends on the 30th as well as the federal pandemic unemployment. The treasury general account is floating around 500b and dropping, meaning the USG is going to need to sell treasuries to fund operations( and a lot of them). The only demand for treasuries is the fed, which means its going to have to expand its monthly asset purchases, not taper.

So millions of people without a place to live, millions of people without an income (unemployment), and a broke government having to sell a fuckton of worthless paper.

It comes down to the Fed and what they decide. 2 Options.

1- New round of stimulus and unemployment, as well as treasury bond sales, which will lead up into an inflationary boom where the notional value of everything just climbs and climbs. This assumes the fed is going to keep the spigot open and on full blast. This buys the economy maybe 12-24 months.

2- No new stimulus. The fed decides to taper. Millions homeless and out of money. 401k redemptions for temporary housing costs. Equities tank. Banks who bought worthless T notes don't have a fed to sell them too. Banks stop buying treasuries. USG defaults on its debt. Total and epic economic collapse.

So while I think ultimately the Fed will choose Option 1, Option 2 is still a very real probability.

In the end, that's just my thoughts, and who am I really but words on a webpage?

[–] • 2 pts

“Both scenarios thus indicate that continuing business as usual, that is, pursuing continuous growth, is not possible," Harrington concludes in her research.

Oh, it's fucking possible you stupid bitch. It's not advisable is the word you were looking for.

[–] [deleted] • 0 pt

"New study confirms..." clicks link FTFA: In 1972, scientists from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology made a bold prediction.

1972 is new.

[–] • 2 pts

clicks link: - reads: - “Nearly 50 years later, a researcher at one of the largest accounting firms in the world checked in on the infamous study to see how the model has compared with reality. ”