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Many already know the threat that La Palma poses. And many models have simulated the catastrophic aftermath of an eruption.

The seismic crisis at La Palma of the past few days continues with no signs of slowing.

More than 250 sizable quakes were detected during the past 24 hours, and more than 3000 in total have been logged over the past 4 days, reports volcanodiscovery.com.

During the past 24 hours, earthquakes have been moving westwards and have become shallower, reveals data coming out of the National Geographic Institute (IGN). This is a concerning development, and likely indicates continued magma intrusion and migration under the surface, a contention which is also supported also by the continued deformation of the surface in the same area as the quakes — in places, the ground has been uplifted by 1.5 cm (almost one inch) already.

The likelihood of an eruption has thus increased, continues the volcanodiscovery.com report.

Earthquakes swarms are often an indication of an impending eruption.

Furthermore, this week’s swarm is occurring at the south of the island — the worst possible location (for reasons we’ll go into below).

Additionally, and according to the most recent update, the quakes are becoming shallower.

This is another sign of an impending blow-off.

A magnitude 3.2 quake popped-off early Wednesday morning at a depth of just 4 km.

This can be seen at the large green signal on the seismic trace graph:

Many already know the threat that La Palma poses.

And many models have simulated the catastrophic aftermath of an eruption.

According to a study conducted by Steven Ward and Simon Day:

“Geological evidence suggests that during a future eruption, Cumbre Vieja Volcano on the Island of La Palma may experience a catastrophic failure of its west flank, dropping 500 km3 of rock into the sea. Using a geologically reasonable estimate of landslide motion, we model tsunami waves produced by such a collapse. Waves generated by the run-out of a 500 km3 slide block at 100 m/s could transit the entire Atlantic Basin and arrive on the coasts of the Americas with 10-25 m height.”

This is a very dangerous volcano, and not for the reason most volcanoes are concerning (i.e. particulate ejection). La CUmbre Vieja on the island of La Palma threatens to send a 80+ foot tsunami washing over the entire eastern seaboard. In fact, the majority of Atlantic coastal towns and cities could be washed away — including those in Canada, Greenland, Iceland, the UK, Portugal, and all of western Africa.

Watch the simulation of Ward’s and Day’s study for more information (made in 2012): https://youtu.be/Zb4T8a1K5tw

>Many already know the threat that La Palma poses. And many models have simulated the catastrophic aftermath of an eruption. The seismic crisis at La Palma of the past few days continues with no signs of slowing. More than 250 sizable quakes were detected during the past 24 hours, and more than 3000 in total have been logged over the past 4 days, reports volcanodiscovery.com. During the past 24 hours, earthquakes have been moving westwards and have become shallower, reveals data coming out of the National Geographic Institute (IGN). This is a concerning development, and likely indicates continued magma intrusion and migration under the surface, a contention which is also supported also by the continued deformation of the surface in the same area as the quakes — in places, the ground has been uplifted by 1.5 cm (almost one inch) already. The likelihood of an eruption has thus increased, continues the volcanodiscovery.com report. Earthquakes swarms are often an indication of an impending eruption. Furthermore, this week’s swarm is occurring at the south of the island — the worst possible location (for reasons we’ll go into below). Additionally, and according to the most recent update, the quakes are becoming shallower. This is another sign of an impending blow-off. A magnitude 3.2 quake popped-off early Wednesday morning at a depth of just 4 km. This can be seen at the large green signal on the seismic trace graph: Many already know the threat that La Palma poses. And many models have simulated the catastrophic aftermath of an eruption. According to a study conducted by Steven Ward and Simon Day: “Geological evidence suggests that during a future eruption, Cumbre Vieja Volcano on the Island of La Palma may experience a catastrophic failure of its west flank, dropping 500 km3 of rock into the sea. Using a geologically reasonable estimate of landslide motion, we model tsunami waves produced by such a collapse. Waves generated by the run-out of a 500 km3 slide block at 100 m/s could transit the entire Atlantic Basin and arrive on the coasts of the Americas with 10-25 m height.” This is a very dangerous volcano, and not for the reason most volcanoes are concerning (i.e. particulate ejection). La CUmbre Vieja on the island of La Palma threatens to send a 80+ foot tsunami washing over the entire eastern seaboard. In fact, the majority of Atlantic coastal towns and cities could be washed away — including those in Canada, Greenland, Iceland, the UK, Portugal, and all of western Africa. Watch the simulation of Ward’s and Day’s study for more information (made in 2012): https://youtu.be/Zb4T8a1K5tw

(post is archived)

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if it does release, we wont have to hear about this covid bullshit for a while. it will be one hell of a happening though. i would expect it would take the better part of a year for things to go back to normal if they ever do.

[–] 1 pt

A tsunami hitting the entire east coast would sit in people's minds for generations. The coastal real estate marketplace would be decimated due to a lack of buyers.

[–] 1 pt

I'm not on the coast but close enough to keep my eyes on this.