The IPCC are still ignoring the influences of the sun, even in 2021. Their latest report pays it such little mind that it may as well not be there — and soon, I wouldn’t put it past these jokers to completely deny its existence.
They do have a section called “solar forcing” in the report, but this feels more of a placating inclusion rather than a genuine scientific inquiry. It appears to only get a mention so it can be immediately dismissed — but such lip service is often all it takes to fool the unthinkers into believing a topic has been covered, when in fact it most certainly has not.
As with their previous reports, when it comes to the sun, the IPCC’s focus is on “irradiance“.
This is an intentionally narrow-minded stance which excludes ALL secondary forcings, which are plentiful.
The IPCC purposefully ignore the global electric circuit; they fail to mention earth’s waning magnetic field; they don’t touch on auroras (i.e. solar wind/flares/CMES) which have been found to heat the planet; and they sidestep the influx of cosmic rays during times of low solar activity, which have been found to nucleate clouds (global cooling) AND heat the muons in the subsurface (volcanic and seismic uptick, with the former also leading to cooling).
The IPCC attempt to debunk the notion that cosmic rays have any sort of role in earth’s climate by stating: “There is high confidence that GCRs (Galactic Cosmic Rays) contribute a negligible ERF over the period 1750 to 2019”.
But that’s where they end it.
They offer no further insight and provide zero, yes zero, citations.
Basically, they just made it up.
In reality, recent years have seen a myriad of studies affirming the role of cosmic rays. In fact, the confidence in GCRs being a crucial climate component is now so high that much of today’s research is concentrated on the minutia of the mechanisms — these peer-reviewed findings are all published alongside the very same ones used by the IPCC in their reports, but they are ignored — evidence of cherry-picking.
As I mentioned volcanism above, I should point out that the latest report does include a “volcanic forcing” section; but once again, the IPCC’s analysis is yet more lip service, not scientific endeavor.
But come on now, we shouldn’t act surprised — the IPCC is political body, not a scientific one, and this fact has been showcased more than ever this week: rebuttals of natural forcings were concluded before pen was ever put to paper. After all, the sole purpose of the IPCC is to prove anthropogenic warming, that’s why the body was setup in the first place, and if ever it concluded that humans weren’t culpable for the observed changes in the climate, then, well, the organization would no longer exist.
Volcanoes, Cosmic Rays, the Magnetic Field, and the Sun are ALL forcings completely dismissed by the IPCC.
The latest report doesn’t address past failed predictions either, namely those temperature models–none of which have played-out as expected (earth has actually cooled some 0.7C since 2016).
All the IPCC has to say on this front is: “we now have more certainty in our projections”.
That’s right, failing to address their demonstrated climate model bias/uncertainty is substituted with claims of greater certainty: “we got it wrong, but we’ve learned from out mistakes, and so you can trust us now,” is my attempt at a translation.
I also don’t understand how modern climate science is supposed to accurately predict the future when it routinely fails to predict the past — and Michael Mann’s infamous ‘hockey stick’ graph is just one example of this:
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