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1 amount of registered voters (worldpopulationreview.com)

2 2016 voter turnout (statista.com)

3 current amount of votes and (google.com)

4 the website to put in the numbers and calculate percentages (percentagecalculator.net)

Minnesota had a 74.16% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 3,190,653 total votes now and 3,588,563 registered voters that's 88.9%. That's quite a bit higher

Wisconsin had a 68.33% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 3,240,459 total votes now and 3,684,726 registered voters that's 87.9%. That's a lot higher.

Michigan had a 64.59% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 5,424,717 total votes now and 8,127,040 registered voters, that's 66.7%. Nothing apparently strange here regarding the turnout.

Georgia had a 60% voter turnout in 2016, In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 4,847,706 total votes now and 7,233,584 registered voters, that's 67%. A bit higher.

North Carolina had a 64.57% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 94% counted, 5,387,467 total votes now and 7,361,219 registered voters, that's 73.2% with not even 99% of votes counted. That's quite a bit higher.

Arizona had a 56.35% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 88% counted, 2,870,292 total votes now and 4,281,152 registered voters, that's 67%, again with not even 99% of votes counted. That's quite a bit higher and it's gonna be higher even.

Nevada had a 57.09% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 75% counted, 1,168,857 total votes now and 1,821,356 total registered voters, that's 64.2%. Already a bit higher and it still has a quarter to go.

1 [amount of registered voters](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/number-of-registered-voters-by-state) 2 [2016 voter turnout](https://www.statista.com/statistics/632113/2016-us-presidential-election-voter-turnout-by-state/) 3 [current amount of votes and](https://www.google.com/search?q=us+live+election+results&oq=us+live+ele&aqs=chrome.0.69i59j69i57j0i324j0i22i30l2j69i60j69i61j69i60.2255j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8) 4 [the website to put in the numbers and calculate percentages](https://percentagecalculator.net/) Minnesota had a 74.16% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 3,190,653 total votes now and 3,588,563 registered voters that's 88.9%. That's quite a bit higher Wisconsin had a 68.33% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 3,240,459 total votes now and 3,684,726 registered voters that's 87.9%. That's a lot higher. Michigan had a 64.59% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 5,424,717 total votes now and 8,127,040 registered voters, that's 66.7%. Nothing apparently strange here regarding the turnout. Georgia had a 60% voter turnout in 2016, In 2020, with 99% of votes counted, 4,847,706 total votes now and 7,233,584 registered voters, that's 67%. A bit higher. North Carolina had a 64.57% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 94% counted, 5,387,467 total votes now and 7,361,219 registered voters, that's 73.2% with not even 99% of votes counted. That's quite a bit higher. Arizona had a 56.35% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 88% counted, 2,870,292 total votes now and 4,281,152 registered voters, that's 67%, again with not even 99% of votes counted. That's quite a bit higher and it's gonna be higher even. Nevada had a 57.09% voter turnout in 2016. In 2020, with 75% counted, 1,168,857 total votes now and 1,821,356 total registered voters, that's 64.2%. Already a bit higher and it still has a quarter to go.

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[–] • 1 pt

What predictions have you made correctly? Do you record your predictions, like me? Can we see screenshots of your predictions.

Tell you what, let's compare.

You start by posting one prediction you've made that has come true, then I'll post one, then we'll all be able to see who has been right more.

[–] • 1 pt

You start by posting one prediction you've made that has come true

Don't hold your breath. Abigail is only using her script. lol

[–] • 1 pt

"I've never been right before because I blindly trust the news, but I will narcissistically abuse anyone who disagrees with me." - Abigail

[–] • 1 pt

lol You forgot "ORANGE.MAN.BAD!"

[–] • 0 pt

"i have to resort to strawmanning bs to vent about my feelings because that's all I have left to use"

[–] • 0 pt

I'm not criticizing your "predictions" i'm criticizing your bad math skills

One prediction I made was that Biden would win Wisconsin. Your turn.

[–] • 0 pt

But regression mean calculations are fine when Nate Silver does it, right?

[–] • 0 pt

No, because turnout is not a data point until election night and by then the model is frozen in place.

Number of states Nate Silver has been wrong about so far: 1, Florida

My personal map was Biden flips WI, MI, PA, NC, GA, AZ, Trump flips none

I think I'm going to be wrong about NC but right about GA, which means I'm tied with Nate Silver.