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this: Offer to accept u.s. dollars from the hesitant nation's in exchange for them accepting rubles--and only from those nations that agree.

The only thing the u.s. can do is freeze those assets, or demand they be frozen, alienating more allies. In fact because of structural inflation happening now , the u.s. has short-term incentive to respond this way, and will double down, thus guaranteeing it cuts itself off further : Every time foreign reserves and liquidity are locked out of the u.s. market, it prevents them from coming ashore (which is already happening), slowing inflation, and making available liquidity more valuable. On the other-hand failure to respond will say to the international community that it is now open season on the USD and nations formally under the u.s. thumb are therefore free to act with impunity .

It is an absolute no-win situation for the u.s, and it will be forced to make a move, zugzwang as it were.

Instead of setting up rubles-for-gold, if Russia decides to currency swap hesitant nations for USD, they'll simultenously

  1. cut the throat of asset freezes

  2. re-add value to the dollar reserves of nations that want to side with russia (the same nations who are hesitating because they are afraid of sanctions on themselves )

  3. russia will then be able to settle debts in USD again, to third parties, who are using this lame excuse as the reason for cutting off russia. Putin would basically be calling their bluff.

Essentially he would be setting up a SECOND USD sphere-of-influence, that excludes the united states itself .

Russia guarantees in exchange that it will always honor reserves, so long as the nations trading, freeze out the u.s. (or refuse to honor u.s. economic sanctions). They agree to sell oil and trade in EITHER USD and/or rubles (or a mix of both, with some minimum necessary).

The u.s. would then be utterly stuck between 1. hyperinflating to survive ( and hurt russia), or 2. quitting printing to maintain legitimacy and prevent nations from going over to russias version of the u.s. petrodollar.

Like a giant middle finger straight into the eye of a false god, they would be saying to the illegitimate u.s. government "we will smash your idols and use them like broken play things, and then discard them at our leisure."

Whats the u.s. gonna be able to do? Start a war to preserve the petrodollar?

They'd just be bolstering russia! kek.

Why print rubbles, when you can force your opponent to debase their own currency?

Sometimes the winning move is completely counterintuitive. And this is that.

It will initially make russia appear weak, and the short term narrative will be "russia still trading in the usd. russia lacks confidence in the ruble."

But the net effect will be to drive down the ruble in value, making a few nations want to dump it. The beauty of this? Russia can buy those rubles up cheap and recast them. Or other nations can "cast their lot" in with russia, deciding their side, by purchasing those rubles. Theres bound to be a few greedy ones. The effect too is that russia reduces leverage against it, and can do some "clean up" by destroying the rubles it bought, raising the value of what it and its citizens have, making imports cheaper, and oil and gas exports even more expensive for the enemies of the federation. And simultenously this deflation of the ruble, acts as a loyalty bribe or promise fulfilment to any nations willing to agree to this scheme or already holding rubles.

If Russia were to go through with this strategy, I expect the u.s. bloc to splinter on the economic stress, with an eventual pivot to BRICs within 2-5 years, and the petrodollar completely abandoned. The u.s. would then become export dependent and massively vulnerable at the same time china is building the belt and road initiative . The situation then reverses, and russia and china can and will end up, eventually with dominant control over world shipping, at the very moment when the u.s. is reverting back to being an exporter--which will be dependent on the good will of russia and china to allow us to use the world trade/shipping infrastructure.

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this: Offer to *accept* u.s. dollars from the hesitant nation's in exchange for them accepting rubles--and *only* from those nations that agree. The only thing the u.s. can do is freeze those assets, or demand they be frozen, alienating *more* allies. In fact *because* of structural inflation happening *now*, the u.s. has short-term incentive to respond this way, and will double down, thus guaranteeing it cuts itself off *further*: Every time foreign reserves and liquidity are locked out of the u.s. market, it *prevents* them from coming ashore (which is already happening), slowing inflation, and making *available* liquidity *more* valuable. On the other-hand *failure* to respond will say to the international community that it is **now open season on the USD and nations formally under the u.s. thumb are therefore free to act with impunity**. It is an absolute no-win situation for the u.s, and it will be *forced* to make a move, zugzwang as it were. Instead of setting up rubles-for-gold, if Russia decides to currency swap hesitant nations for USD, they'll simultenously 1. cut the throat of asset freezes 2. re-add value to the dollar reserves of nations that *want* to side with russia (the same nations who are hesitating because they are afraid of sanctions on *themselves*) 3. russia will then be able to settle debts in USD again, to third parties, who are using this lame excuse as the reason for cutting off russia. Putin would basically be calling their bluff. Essentially he would be setting up a SECOND USD sphere-of-influence, **that excludes the united states itself**. Russia guarantees in exchange that it will *always* honor reserves, so long as the nations trading, freeze out the u.s. (or refuse to honor u.s. economic sanctions). They agree to sell oil and trade in EITHER USD and/or rubles (or a mix of both, with some minimum necessary). The u.s. would then be utterly stuck between 1. hyperinflating to survive (**and** hurt russia), or 2. quitting printing to maintain legitimacy and prevent nations from going over to **russias** version of the u.s. petrodollar. Like a giant middle finger straight into the eye of a false god, they would be saying to the illegitimate u.s. government "we will smash your idols and use them like broken play things, and then discard them at our leisure." Whats the u.s. gonna be able to do? Start a war to preserve the petrodollar? They'd just be bolstering russia! kek. Why print rubbles, when you can *force* your opponent to debase their *own* currency? Sometimes the winning move is completely counterintuitive. And this is that. It will initially make russia appear weak, and the short term narrative will be "russia still trading in the usd. russia lacks confidence in the ruble." But the net effect will be to drive down the ruble in value, making a few nations want to dump it. The beauty of this? Russia can buy those rubles up cheap and recast them. Or other nations can "cast their lot" in with russia, deciding their side, by purchasing those rubles. Theres bound to be a few greedy ones. The effect too is that russia reduces leverage against it, and can do some "clean up" by destroying the rubles it bought, raising the value of what it and its citizens have, making imports cheaper, and oil and gas exports even *more* expensive for the enemies of the federation. And simultenously this deflation of the ruble, acts as a *loyalty bribe* or *promise fulfilment* to any nations willing to agree to this scheme or *already holding* rubles. If Russia were to go through with this strategy, I expect the u.s. bloc to splinter on the economic stress, with an eventual pivot to BRICs within 2-5 years, and the petrodollar completely abandoned. The u.s. would then become export dependent and massively vulnerable **at the same time china is building the belt and road initiative**. The situation then reverses, and russia and china *can and will* end up, **eventually** with dominant control over world shipping, at the very moment when the u.s. is reverting back to being an exporter--which will be dependent on the *good will* of russia and china to *allow* us to use the world trade/shipping infrastructure.

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[–] [deleted] • 1 pt 3y

Like Gabriel whispering into the ear of Muhammad? 😅

[–] • 1 pt 3y (edited 3y)

Like Gabriel whispering into the ear of Muhammad?

Don't know about that but I posted out of spite because none of the requests https://www.poal.co/s/Opinion/522566had even begun to be fulfilled in the last 48 hours. I mean, it was a long shot, a very remote possibility, anything would be fulfilled, let alone garner a response. And thats just it.

I know how to save Mariupol too. If I see the news definitely report any two of the demands in that post coming to pass, I'll post how they can do it. Like the method in this thread's post, the battle tactic here is unconventional, but unlike this post, strictly relegated to warfare rather than economics.

Either side could take Mariupol for good if they just fulfilled some of the demands of a random shitposter on the internet. I'm not that important, the people coming up with the plans are just dumber and less competent than I am. And the proof of that is that they didn't follow through on the first offer and probably won't on this one either.

You know the solutions I've posted are better than anything Lloyd Austin would come up with. Hell half of the solutions anyone on poal, 4chan, etc, could provide, are likely to be better than what the incompetent CIA and DoD can come up with. Think about that. They're not even competent enough to know when they're losing and should get a new playbook.

Almost like they want to lose.

But even if that weren't true, the occupation in DC would probably still struggle to keep a foothold or respond cogently. The hallmark of incompetence is flailing. And of course don't confuse competence for ruthlessness or low cunning, both are predictable and only effective against opponents playing at the same level. Which the russians and KGB aren't.

And it shows.

In otherwords, I look forward to watching the Russians take Mariupol from the corrupt occupation regime running the u.s because the u.s. can't even bother to announce on tv that they raided the ADL and arrested greenblatt. I'm sure some glowfag read my reference post, and being arrogant was like "I know what the solution he refused to post probably is." Then I came out of left field on this thread and posted it, and it was something completely counterintuitive. Which is why I specified in the first thread "its not anything you might consider, like assassination or NBC weapons." It was to setup the proof to whoever was reading, that they were in fact stupid and arrogant, and that the explanation thread (this one), would be proof. And it was.

And the same is true again here. They do not know how to win in Mariupol. They do not know how to lock-in that victory without heavy losses. Whatever low-level fag in the spy agencies doing his daily rounds on sites like this, if theres any of them here at all--whatever low on the totem pole guy happens to be reading, they think they already know the solution, or at the minimum some random shitposter couldnt possibly know better than career DoD guys on the ground.

Except they're stupid, and wrong, and the DoD guys are where they are from cutting off their own balls and sucking too many cocks while climbing the ladder.

They build echo chambers or at least allow them, to harvest ideas and OSI, and chatter, but then they go one step further and don't use them. They're all take and no give. And they wonder why they've gone deaf from the giant game of telephone they play which no one else wants to participate in.

Well no shit. Who wants to help a regime that thinks its untouchable and can make demands without giving back?

tl;dr A two-bit nobody autist on the internet has the actual answer to win in Mariupol and homosexual moloch-worshiping communists at the CIA/MI5/BND are too busy giving each other handjobs and reach-arounds to realize it lol.

/rant

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