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It's the move of cowards terrified of dying. Thats 100% why anyone would do it despite the propaganda loss doing it entails.

The very fact they chose to hide behind citizens knowing how that looks, tells you it's because they are scared and bluffing.

They're using human shields because their "stock to flow" of troops is too low even to survive without russian mercy to sustain them.

To hold the territory, russian will have to do things that will likely alienate the territory.

This is the breaking point for russia's strategy.

The u.s. is desperate and now pulling out all the stops.

If russia calls the bluff and bombs battalions using human shields, it will send the unequivocal message to the u.s. and Zalansky that "russia is prepared to USE EVERY WEAPON in its arsenal. To do anything, anything necessary, to win, regardless of the cost."

He will back down, because like his men, he is a coward and an actor.

The ukrainians citizens seeing the death of their own will realise one of two things:

"Russians are the ultimate evil" (which, if the war goes on long enough, the propaganda will cause them to believe anyway)

or

"if we are gonna be forced to die t the hands of azov who use us as human shields, we might as well kill azov and zelensky ourselves!"

If I ran Russia's military, I would simultenously also start to drop food and medicine for Ukrainian citizens, and elevate a few Russian soldiers, not for their ruthlessness, but ones that showed mercy or restraint.

The victory is the merger of the contradictory narratives of utter ruthlessness with a just and limited war .

Zelensky knows what the game on the ground is anyway, so it doesn't matter what he thinks. Likewise the u.s. which already had it in for russia.

Even if Russia backs off now, the u.s. has seen this as the ultimate proof that Russia and China are a threat, and will now move to quickly destroy both.

Their only hopes for survival is to nail ukraine's leadership to the wall, like christ driving out demons into a herd of swine.

The oligarchs are fleeing to israel not out of fear of their assets being taken, but because they expect and are likely demanding behind close doors tht the u.s. move to prepare for a full all-out war against Russia. Beijing has concluded the same, which is why they are now siding with russia while at the same time playing tight-lipped and trying to lightly project slight neutrality.

The u.s. is still bluffing on this, but if the regime realizes that this war is now a referendum on its credibility and by extension, the dollar, it will take us to war none-the-less.

I think there is a good probability that the outcome no one wants (full war) will play out, and if not, a failure of the dollar. In the latter case, where world war 3 doesn't happen, this is seen as a bellweather that the u.s. no longer has the military might to enforce dollar status. In the former case, full war, it happens anyway, because currency won't matter in a world war.

I'll put the probability of a world war AND/OR global economic super-depression from a failed dollar (inflation at 10-15% annually) at 60-70% within the next 18-24 months.

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It's the move of cowards terrified of dying. Thats 100% why anyone would do it despite the propaganda loss doing it entails. The very fact they chose to hide behind citizens *knowing* how that looks, tells you it's because they are scared and bluffing. They're using human shields because their "stock to flow" of troops is *too low even to survive* without russian mercy to sustain them. To hold the territory, russian will have to do things that will likely *alienate* the territory. This is the breaking point for russia's strategy. The u.s. is desperate and now pulling out all the stops. If russia calls the bluff and bombs battalions using human shields, it will send the *unequivocal* message to the u.s. and Zalansky that "russia is prepared to USE EVERY WEAPON in its arsenal. To do anything, anything necessary, to win, regardless of the cost." He will back down, because like his men, he is a coward and an actor. The ukrainians citizens seeing the death of their own will realise one of two things: "Russians are the ultimate evil" (which, if the war goes on long enough, the propaganda will cause them to believe anyway) or "if we are gonna be forced to die t the hands of azov who use us as human shields, we might as well kill azov and zelensky ourselves!" If I ran Russia's military, I would simultenously also start to drop food and medicine for Ukrainian citizens, and elevate a few Russian soldiers, not for their ruthlessness, but ones that showed mercy or restraint. The victory is the merger of the contradictory narratives of *utter ruthlessness* with *a just and limited war*. Zelensky knows what the game on the ground is anyway, so it doesn't matter what he thinks. Likewise the u.s. which already had it in for russia. Even if Russia backs off now, the u.s. has seen this as the ultimate proof that Russia and China *are* a threat, and will now move to quickly destroy both. Their only hopes for survival is to nail ukraine's leadership to the wall, like christ driving out demons into a herd of swine. The oligarchs are fleeing to israel not out of fear of their assets being taken, but because they expect and are likely demanding behind close doors tht the u.s. move to prepare for a full all-out war against Russia. Beijing has concluded the same, which is why they are now siding with russia while at the same time playing tight-lipped and trying to lightly project *slight* neutrality. The u.s. is still bluffing on this, but if the regime realizes that this war is now a referendum on its credibility and by extension, the dollar, it will take us to war none-the-less. I think there is a good probability that the outcome no one wants (full war) will play out, and if not, a failure of the dollar. In the latter case, where world war 3 doesn't happen, this is seen as a bellweather that the u.s. no longer has the military might to enforce dollar status. In the former case, full war, it happens anyway, because currency won't matter in a world war. I'll put the probability of a world war AND/OR global economic super-depression from a failed dollar (inflation at 10-15% annually) at 60-70% within the next 18-24 months.

(post is archived)

[–] 4 pts 3y

Don't forget those elite Europeans who gave up their countries energy Independence as well, to those darn ruskies....lol. Europe as is the US appears to be on a sliding scale downward. All to our own credit especially since these geniuses decided to weponize currency. A brilliant strategy, at the special olympics i suppose?

[–] 3 pts 3y

They accelerated the demise of the dollar. Russia will never use the USA dollar again. You want Russian commodities? Pay in gold, barter, or use an agreed currency backed by hard assets.

The dollar is dead. It's only a matter of time.

Europe has no military or military aged men who are trained to fight in actual combat.

[–] 2 pts 3y

Exactly. They have no men or real military resources. And we are the funding for NATO as a whole. Sounds like this might be a planned demise for the poor petrodollar. But what do i know, im just a poor commoner amongst his people spewing thoughts here.

[–] 3 pts 3y

Yeah, we're spitballing, but we're not sheep either.

Russia will come to dominate eastern Europe at a minimum. Even if they are having a population collapse. Western Europe's is just as bad.

[–] 0 pt 3y (edited 3y)

Europe has no military or military aged men who are trained to fight in actual combat.

You're going a tad too fast on this one

True that no european military power can prevail in a direct confrontation against russia, even combined european military powers

And even with the backing of the US, they can at the very best come up with a pyrrhic victory, and that's a fucking stretch already, emphasis on fucking stretch

That being said, france still has a real military

Yes, france... https://www.businessinsider.com.au/frances-military-is-all-over-africa-2015-1

https://www.globalfirepower.com/countries-listing.php

https://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.php?country_id=france

For 2022, France is ranked 7 of 142 out of the countries considered for the annual GFP review. It holds a PwrIndx* score of 0.1283 (a score of 0.0000 is considered 'perfect'). This entry last updated on 01/12/2022.

[–] 1 pt 3y

That's true. I forgot about France. They are really the only ones engaging in war regularly via former African colonies.