DC has been at war with mainstreet for years, in a very real sense. We have not been represented. And a *lot* of moderate policies, like ending the wars, gun rights, punishing the pharmaceutical companies for the opiod crisis, reigning in the FBI and federal agencies, regulating the banks and making the fraud the banks committed in 2008 major felonies, an end to superpacs and corporate lobbies, all of these are policies americans have vehemently supported on all sides of the aisle, that have gone no where. DC has prevented them from happening. This same war, to prevent anything DC doesn't like from going through, to prevent americans from gaining real representation that isn't threatened or compromised or sold out, this war has openly been lead by the ADL, FBI, and marxist university professors, which americans will sooner or later catch on to, as they already are. And the RNC has assisted them, and played interference at every turn preventing any real candidates from running or gaining a foothold. Meanwhile you have vilified a million or so americans and told them, basically, in so many words, that you are coming after them, but that they are terrorists if they don't accept this persecution. "we will beat you and terrorize you and persecute you with the political system, theres nothing you can do about it, and if you dont like it we will break down your door, point guns at your children, and destroy you in both the rigged courts and the media. Fuck you racists. Fuck you white people. Fuck you conservatives. We like to joke about putting conservatives kids in cages with immigrants to be raped, because you all deserve it, including your families. We're not coming for your guns, but millions of you are neurotic rightwingers who can and should be redflagged and disarmed." Thats what you have said to half a million to two million people. You have set a standard that "structural laws are a form of violence", that words others don't like, defamation and slander, demonization, are violence, and used it to persecute and condemn half of america. You have set a standard that policies that disenfranchise people are "hatred" and "structural violence." And then you have expected half of all america not to see this itself as violence against *us*. And you expect that this won't somehow lead to you being killed by angry mobs and spontaneously formed civilian groups when some disaster hits the u.s. and western nations. You can't politically persecute an entire segment of society and not expect that that segment won't eventually tune out to political solutions. You can't run two false parties to deny real representation, and expect in a country of 327 million people, that a few million won't eventually tune out voting. You can't have an entire year, and even years, going back to 2016, where the 24/7 news is the leftwing committing rampant violence, aided by the FBI and DAs doing nothing (or actively helping), and not expect that a segment of society won't eventually tune out even attempting peaceful protest. You can't lock up and torture 700 people in a DC prison, armed with haitain guards, beat a man until he loses an eye, deny them bail, many for simple trespassing, appoint them radical marxists defense attorneys whos job has apparently only been to force humiliating apologies from the very people they're supposed to defend--you can't do that and expect people will continue to think protest, or even engaging with the courts, will not just tune out and eventually resort to talk of violence as the only means for redress of grievances. You can't expect to do all these things and more to the public, and not expect a hardcore disaffected cohort of maybe half a million to two million people, won't eventually decide that you're illegitimate. That they won't spontaneously conclude **nothing** will ever get better unless you're gone, and that because you refuse to leave through peaceful means, they must eventually conclude the only way to stop the punishment, suppression, and outrages, is to kill you and those officials and agencies supporting you. This is the sentiment I see forming. This is what I see happening in america to the u.s. federal and state governments. This is what I see happening in large cities to local governments. I predicted a while back that it "wont be civil war but brushfire conflicts that will sprout up and then fizzle". But now I think thats incorrect. I think, having a better understanding of the processes unfolding, that its going to lead to a much larger conflict than the incompetent experts in the state department and federal agencies really understand or can control. I think once it starts it will start in earnest and rapidly spiral out of local control even by the national guard, and I think once it reaches that point, it will be irreversible to stop, even if radical reforms are immediately made to the parties. Both sides will then join the fray and immediately enter a reactionary loop where the violence they commit against each other will feed and amplify to larger scale and more organized violence. I see this coming in the wake of not 2024, but actually, the end of 2022, some time as early as spring of 2023. I have in the past advocated for radical peace because for years I have been a pacifist, despite also being a fighter, because I abhor violence. However, I think in order to preserve the peace it is also necessary to say what isn't being said by others because of their (correct) fear of persecution for saying it. I think part of preserving the peace is saying what a very large segment of the disaffected population is thinking and privately discussing among themselves. And I think its important to say it because I think the federal government, like the governments of many other western nations, have lost the plot, and lost touch with both reality, and have dangerously lost the ability to hear an increasingly volatile and increasingly angry and *rapidly growing* segment and sentiment of their citizens. The numbers I cited are small, 0.5 million to 1.5 million (with an upperward limit of 2 million) of people who don't believe political solutions will work any more, and have normalized internally that violence against what they (rightly) perceive is illegitimate actions by their government, is to them, both acceptable, and preferable, to having no hope, or ability to change what is being done to them. And I think that the ruse of the two parties, contrary to the rising "my party vs your party!" chorus ahead of most elections, that despite this, this chorus is actually a misleading signal in intelligence right now. That this time really is different. That the election of either party will not in fact quell popular violence and dissent, like trump was used in 2016 to do, or obama was used in 2009 to do. But rather, that *when* the elections are won in 2022, whatever party is in,this will be seen as a moment when either the lefts extremists will say "finally we get our revenge and the cementing of our way of thinking in this nation!" or the right will say "finally, everything the left has done will be rolled back and the left will be punished for their crimes", and when those things don't happen, let alone happen *fast enough*, when the parties call for compromise, or resort to petty infighting, what it will do is to show, even if the parties are still superficially supported--it will work to show or teach the public "whats the point, politics never works." This will not be the mere disengagement of the voting class, but rather the *mainstreaming of political nihilism*. And with the pent up anger from both sides, one whos grievances are commiserate with their genuine political suppression, and the other whos upsets have more to do with being of a vengeful and innately politically revolutionary mindset--that once that political nihilism kicks in, there will be a sufficient mass of people to make the conflict self-sustaining: war feeding on war. I think the 2022 midterms in the u.s, and other elections abroad, will very rapidly devolve into actual blood baths, that will spread as rapid, or more rapidly, than the 2020 riots, and the blm riots in years prior. I think they will almost from the get go become a tit-for-tat affair, with attacks, and reprisal killings, and immediately escalate to firebombings on officials who step in to "sue for peace" or condemn their own side. And that when that stage kicks off, the "apology and shame-on-my-base tour!" as ted cruz did with J6, those already disaffected, whos party may or may not have one, will see this as the final abandonment, the support-us-or-your-the-enemy moment, the moment where the respective parties will attempt to deescalate, and the segment of the bases that are unreachable, seeing this as those parties taking each others sides over their own supporters. I think from there we will experience infrastructure attacks very quickly, as those, who don't believe they can stand against police or national guard, will resort to ambush attacks and sabotage. Rightwing militia will attempt to keep the peace and very rapidly fall into open gun fights with left wing gangs like blm and antifa. Leftwing militia, namely panthers, and other groups that will form between now and the elections, will, having spent the year intimidating people, pulling them out of their cars, and threatening juries and politicians, will attempt to throw their weight around and set up autonomous zones, and citizens, knowing the police have abandoned them and unions support blm, will escalate it to running gun fights in the streets. There will be fires everywhere, very rapidly, as haitain and immigrant gangs take advantage of the chaos, just as they did in the LA Riots, with organized arson and looting, and there will appear to be a complete collapse of government ability to regulate, slow down, deescalate, or stop the violence and destruction, **at all**. There will be a declaration of total lockdown, and martial law, that will roll out at first, with force, across almost every single state, and rapidly collapse in ranks and be overwhelmed. We will see seattle style no-go zones in both red and blue areas pop up, sporadically at first, but very quickly form into larger areas, as the citizens resort to 'self defense' (mass killing against each other) wherever they even spot a large organized opposition group approaching, much as the roof top koreans had resorted to. This will follow from a general and widespread belief that the federal and state governments had abandoned them, were unable or *unwilling* to defend them, and worse, had in the past and leading up to the conflict, "actively aided and abetted the other guys" in past and ongoing attacks against the respective groups. The news will feed into the killing, and many disparate groups, grifters on the left and the right, will be a central source of escalated rhetoric, fear, panic, outrage, and calls to retaliation, though they won't at first be explicit about it. If public leaders actions will be like gasoline on a fire, the medias reaction will be like throwing hand grenades on a fire. It will appear as if the entire country had lost its entire collective minds. The DOD doesn't believe this. The experts in the fusion centers don't believe this. The NGOs don't believe this. But I can tell you with confidence, this is exactly what will happen. This is what is going down, and how its going down. The question is not even a matter of 'if' but 'when', and its not a large time window. It will, for the u.s., definitively break down in this fashion, or a similar manner, either up to or immediately after 2022 midterms, not simply because of the political factors, but because of the economic, and realpolitik factors. The expert are wrong, and you would be stupid to listen to them saying that we are heading toward "limited" conflict. The political situation looks more like a national separation along religious lines than political, a completely fundamental difference of opinions, but critically **coupled** with a nihilism-trigger, disengagement with political solutions, and disillusionment with the political process, in a time of competitors **actively trying** to cause a color revolution in the u.s. and abroad (along with domestic elements *helping* them), all while the mass anger over the last two years of lockdowns now simmers to the top, and the economy falters, and continues to falter to the point of imploding in depression-era fashion. This will happen no later than 2022, or spring 2023. If it doesn't, then take all these factors, magnify them, assume they are going to become much worse, leading to much more public volatility and disillusionment, and then add the election in 2024 as a trigger. It will absolutely take either a mass pandemic with a *real* death toll, a mass infrastructure collapse to where people are starving so they can't fight, or a mass external war, to prevent these events from unfolding as I have predicted in the u.s., and abroad, but particularly the u.s. I put a 60% confidence interval on the prediction of these events unfolding no later than spring 2023. And a 70-80% confidence interval of them unfolding between then and the elections in 2024. In the months prior and months after the 2024 presidential election, I put an 80-90% confidence interval if this scenario has not already unfolded at the earlier dates. Short of a temporary **ten to twenty year** rollback of leftwing and (CRITICALLY) *neoconservative* policy in the u.s., I predict a 90-95% chance of 2-5 million people, to upwards (on the very high end) of 7-12 million (counting the participants on both sides), entirely disengaging with the political process. While typically this would be an *eventual* outcome, that happens gradually, I predict instead it would happen *rapidly*, a lot quicker than anyone in an analysts position would otherwise expect, and that it will appear unaccounted for and inexplicable in existing models. These are my predictions for the future, and I urge anyone who has the power to listen, and change policy, to do so, as fast and reasonably as possible, if they would preserve the peace and the united states as a nation at all.