WelcomeUser Guide
ToSPrivacyCanary
DonateBugsLicense

©2025 Poal.co

100

That and they're not deprived and pushed far enough into a corner yet.

Its a combination of that and logistics.

This is basically a repost of a thread conversation I was having, so take it with a grain of salt, but heres the numbers from what I can see:

If people knew they had a real chance at winning, or a stalemate that lead to concessions, I think the public attitude on the right would change pretty fast.

Basically, from what I've seen on the net, the universal sentiment among those who appear pro-conflict is that its not a viable fight. Its not a conflict our side could win given the lack of the ability to shape public perception about the fight.

For the record, I think the current "willing participant" rate for any sort of civil conflict is, in at least red counties, somewhere between 1.6% and 3.3%, thats just from things I've heard in the grocery line and other places.

Additionally,

if the population is 327,000,000 in the u.s.

and 40 million (lets say thats an underestimate, and go with 60 million) are immigrants, related to immigrants, or foreign born.

and discounting 13% of the population (blacks), with only 10% being conservative, that leaves

228,741,000 people, or

114,370,500 conservatives.

57,185,250 or about that many potential combatants (conservative and male). And then, lets look at the reasonable percentage of men who could and would fight in bulk:

18-20: 3.7% or 5.931 million 21-44: 31.9% 51.658 million

Or about 57.589 million males total. Or 28.7945 million males total that might be righwing, assuming the political spectrum is uniform across age groups (its not).

If the radicalization rate is, on average 2.45%, thats 705,465.25 fighting age rightwing males, willing, if approached with a legitimate well-equipped and well-funded movement, to join as warm bodies.

Right below the threshold of political relevancy.

I guess thats why the regime is scared.

Of those, maybe 10% can be expected to be of any actual use or participation, so about 70,545. And maybe 3500-7000 that might be actual fighters.

Thats still a lot of damage, and would be catastrophic for the regime, but it'd never be allowed to get off the ground.

And its likely why DC spends so much money and time on contractors (spies, informants, and infiltration operations). Theres something like 60,000 unaccountable federal contractors who job solely consists of doing things like creating fake identities for federal officials an agents, registering houses, cars, weapons, phones, boats, and any other equipment or purchases in their names, to conceal federal operations.

This also doesn't account for the effect of "both sides" joining a civil conflict. For example, how many people saw the Waukesha attack, or the riots in 2020, and decided if there was a civil war they'd join? How many people on the left saw J6 (as distorted and misrepresented as that event was) and decided if the right decides to show up for a fight so would they?

What percentage of the right is basically of the sentiment that if the left continues on the way it is, it'll come down to either starting or joining a conflict?

We don't have those numbers, but when you do calculations and analyses, you can't just say "what percentage of our side is willing?" You also have to assess the sentiments of the otherside , because what they do impacts the percentages on our side.

As it stands, I see now what the DoD was claiming a decade ago, a fights brewing. But unlike their panic now, I don't see it happening for maybe another 1-3 years, 2-5 at the latest.

Right now the willing-participation rate seems to be right below the ignition threshold, so its something to keep watching.

↓ expand content
That and they're not deprived and pushed far enough into a corner yet. Its a combination of that and logistics. This is basically a repost of a thread conversation I was having, so take it with a grain of salt, but heres the numbers from what I can see: If people *knew* they had a real chance at winning, or a stalemate that lead to concessions, I think the public attitude on the right would change pretty fast. Basically, from what I've seen on the net, the universal sentiment among those who appear pro-conflict is that its not a viable fight. Its not a conflict our side could win given the lack of the ability to shape public perception about the fight. For the record, I think the current "willing participant" rate for any sort of civil conflict is, in at least red counties, somewhere between 1.6% and 3.3%, thats just from things I've heard in the grocery line and other places. Additionally, if the population is 327,000,000 in the u.s. and 40 million (lets say thats an underestimate, and go with 60 million) are immigrants, related *to* immigrants, or foreign born. and discounting 13% of the population (blacks), with only 10% being conservative, that leaves 228,741,000 people, or 114,370,500 conservatives. 57,185,250 or about that many potential combatants (conservative and male). And then, lets look at the reasonable percentage of men who *could* and *would* fight in bulk: 18-20: 3.7% or 5.931 million 21-44: 31.9% 51.658 million Or about 57.589 million males total. Or 28.7945 million males total that *might* be righwing, assuming the political spectrum is uniform across age groups (its not). If the radicalization rate is, on average 2.45%, thats 705,465.25 fighting age rightwing males, willing, if approached with a legitimate well-equipped and well-funded movement, to join as warm bodies. Right below the threshold of political relevancy. I guess thats why the regime is scared. Of those, maybe 10% can be expected to be of any actual use or participation, so about 70,545. And maybe 3500-7000 that might be actual fighters. Thats still a lot of damage, and would be catastrophic for the regime, but it'd never be allowed to get off the ground. And its likely why DC spends so much money and time on contractors (spies, informants, and infiltration operations). Theres something like 60,000 unaccountable federal contractors who job solely consists of doing things like creating fake identities for federal officials an agents, registering houses, cars, weapons, phones, boats, and any other equipment or purchases in their names, to conceal federal operations. This also doesn't account for the effect of "both sides" joining a civil conflict. For example, how many people saw the Waukesha attack, or the riots in 2020, and decided if there was a civil war they'd join? How many people on the left saw J6 (as distorted and misrepresented as that event was) and decided if the right decides to show up for a fight so would they? What percentage of the right is basically of the sentiment that if the left continues on the way it is, it'll come down to either starting or joining a conflict? We don't have those numbers, but when you do calculations and analyses, you can't just say "what percentage of our side is willing?" You also have to assess the sentiments of the *otherside*, because what *they* do **impacts** the percentages on our side. As it stands, I see now what the DoD was claiming a decade ago, a fights brewing. But unlike their panic now, I don't see it happening for maybe another 1-3 years, 2-5 at the latest. Right now the willing-participation rate seems to be right below the ignition threshold, so its something to keep watching.

(post is archived)

[–] 0 pt 3y

Here's some of the difficulties I've identified:

It's not about the numbers of people willing and able to fight, but about getting them together.

The rebellions of the past occurred because it was easier to secure a private communication and any infiltration would be of limited risk to those engaged in them.

Now we have all manner of obstacles when it comes to this, and it's not just with the lockdown, as well before it, whenever anyone tried to set up a meeting with others no one showed up, the forums these gathering were posted in were filled with people saying that the meeting was a setup, the posters were feds, etc.

Like Kevin Mitnick had famously said, a lot of the effort that goes into security is about giving off the appearance of being more secure than you actually are, and the more secure some system appears to be, the more likely they are to be trying to keep you from finding that deadly exploit that they know exists within their system.

The perception of our people matters as well.

The alt right was a very successful movement that had a great momentum to it, and would've gob on to do wonders if it wasn't stopped.

Lets reflect in what they accomplished, because if you knew how things were before, and how they changed afterwards, and in how little time they could accomplish what was seemingly impossible to achieve previously, you know why we should've held onto them.

They were getting people to engage with issues they'd never had given serious thought to without them, there were discussions on matters that were previously forbidden to talk about.

The mainstream culture was in crisis because now they could no longer have a one sided dialog on these topics in the public perception, they HAD to let the other side make their case, and when we were permitted to speak for ourselves, where we had previously been spoken for by our enemies, we would win debate after debate with ease.

It would've been a time of enlightenment if not for the fall of the alt right in the eyes of its most ardent supporters, and that was a facilitated fall from grace, don't get me wrong here.

First, there was the matter that we wanted perfection from its main figures, we were looking for a reason to doubt or abandon them, and we were given it amply, we should've accepted that they'd be deeply flawed in some way, and kept with them just because they were still so effective at getting things done.

We should've treated them the way effective politicians were treated, where their failings were kept far away from their ability to produce the changes we wanted to see, instead we put the parts ofbthem we didn't approve of front and center, and then we distanced ourselves from them with a sense of pride, by doing that, we had confidently shot ourselves in the foot.

We wanted them to live model lives, to share all our opinions on important issues and not have any major disagreements on some topic that mattered to us, we expected them to have perfect personalities without any embarrassing secrets, we had expected far too much from them. We had ceased to see them as tools, and instead looked to them for heroes.

The left knows full and we'll not to do that shot with their "heroes", they knew not to loudly declare the parts of their "faces" that they knew would impair their ability to serve the purposes they were needed to serve. We said the quiet parts out loud, and we suffered for it, we killed our own leaders because they weren't worthy of our lofty standards, and we were rewarded with the exact kinds of leaders who could fit them perfectly - none.

Second, we had opportunities to start things up, but while we talked about them, no one was willing to seize them where they were able, CHAZ was an opportunity, a golden one, if we had been able to capitalize on it, we'd have been successful in making progress towards effective changes, but at that time we were focused on public image, "optics", and anyone who suggested anything was attacked immediately for being some kind of shill.

Same thing with the riots, we should've done what golden dawn had seen great success in doing, by going to those who suffer from the effects of the problems we want to solve and help them out in a very public way, showing that we see the things everyone is trying to look away from or excuse out of their minds, and we actually care about making these things better, that goes a long way.

Basically, we had a lot of chances to make a difference, and we sat on our asses posting things that made others more likely to do the same.

Even what we were told was our great failures would've been a success if we had not fallen for the demoralization and found that way to either spin it into a good thing, which was a very good possibility, instead, we let them control our narrative, and I think that was where the alt right first began to leak its steam, we killed it, it was us who had done so.

For example, we should've been slapping each other on the backs and congratulating ourselves for any part we played in the events that took place there, the skirmish that had happened could've been seen as the first of many escalating events of that sort. By rolling with it instead of against, we could've gotten other events held of that sort over and over again, putting the left and the establishment at an impasse as to whether they should allow us to hold our events in peace, or continue to disrupt them as they had in Charlottesville. I can think of neither path as being beneficial to them, if they'd continue the disruption, it'd be far less effective from them now that we knew the police aren't going to be on our side, and we could talk about the losses that day in the context of the betrayal of police officers.

The numbers, we need to increase them.

The way we can do this is by fighting agsinstbtgeir kind manipulation techniques by using the same techniques to counteract the signal.

We need to form an psyops group that studies psychology the way the enemy has, and finds ways to reverse engineer their methods of mind control so that they could be used effectively by us and for our cause.

We need to study history to arm ourselves with the parts they had lied about, kept secret, or downplayed, we need to form a group that focuses on the false representations of historical events in the media, and corrects them on their historical accuracy, this needs to get done in an engaging way for the audience, such that they will binge our videos for their entertainment.

Last is that we need a mecia presence, we need to focus on getting people with short attention span to watch the stuff we produce, and keep their minds tickled with mental reactions to what we produce.

We need to find presenters with the right voices and sense of humor, we need to find artists with the right style and quality.

We need a group that would study the media produced over the last century, and find how they have been able to influence the changes in the culture through their effects on the kinds of the audience that viewed them.

And then we reverse engineer it to do the same, but for our own message instead, then we apply what we had learned, and to do that, we need writers that can make something subversive, that the normies would watch and reccomend to others, without fully realizing what it is, but still getting the subtextual implications that affects how think of things, program their minds to come to our conclusions and believe it was their own doing.

↓ expand content
[–] 0 pt 3y (edited 3y)

I just got done posting on this very topic to another:

https://poal.co/s/multiculturalcancer/478780/2ee6f64f-98b1-4ed9-b409-27dd843c3559

Now we have all manner of obstacles when it comes to this, and it's not just with the lockdown, as well before it, whenever anyone tried to set up a meeting with others no one showed up, the forums these gathering were posted in were filled with people saying that the meeting was a setup, the posters were feds, etc.

See thats putting the cart first. First learn from the occupation's playbook. Always always learn from the opposition. You're talking revolution or rebellion or what have you, but thats getting way ahead. Just think one or two steps ahead.

You don't need the guys who walk through the door ready and willing to lay their life down in some combat or other. You don't. For starters, who in their right and sober mind gets approached to join some rebellion or other, and just agrees to that out of hand? Who does that? They don't have anything to offer, because again, they have nothing to lose.

You want people who have something to lose, because they have something to offer to the cause. And people who have something to lose are averse to drastic measures, averse to violence.

So you don't come out swinging, telling them its "all or nothing."

You ask them "what are you capable of?" and "what do you have to offer?" Or "what are you willing to volunteer to do?"

There doesn't have to be any big talk or shoptalk about violence, or war, or any of that faff. The only question is "can you do xyz? Can you provide xyz? Are you able to volunteer for xyz?"

Thats it.

People have different levels of commitment. They have different levels of commitment depending on your most recent successes, and failures. They even have different levels of commitment when they first volunteer from the get go. They have different amounts of risk, physical, legal, and otherwise, that they are comfortable absorbing. So some things, many things in fact, are going to be completely off limits to the vast majority of people except in the most dire of circumstances.

So you go into every recruitment or volunteer pitch with the same understanding: what are you willing and able to do or provide? Thats all you want to know, and you're happy to take all comers, because the guy willing to do something, anything , is infinitely more valuable than any number of well wishers in the public or online. You only reject who you have to, which is usually felons and drug addicts.

Like Kevin Mitnick had famously said, a lot of the effort that goes into security is about giving off the appearance of being more secure than you actually are, and the more secure some system appears to be, the more likely they are to be trying to keep you from finding that deadly exploit that they know exists within their system.

I see this as both wrong and right at the same time, but i'm glad you're familiar. The wrong kind of anonymity or privacy, isn't security, but actually the opposite: Its why the three percenters and oath keepers were large, visible, and public, and did a lot of volunteer work. They realized the "secretiveness" of their militias were being used to create probable cause, as a pretense for federal agencies to destroy and politically suppress them.

Familiarize yourself with when privacy is important and when its a hindrance or danger to an organization. For example, how many of the J6 would currently be locked up in Dc's Gitmo II if they had chosen to wear masks and leave their smartphones at home or in one location?

The perception of our people matters as well.

Yes and no. Again, know when perception is important and when its not. Contractors and NGOs try to push us away from the idea of "optics" because optics affects legitimacy, and you have to have legitimacy in order to win over the middle. And you have to win the middle if you want political change without combat.

90% optics is important. An example of when it should have been ignored is again, J6 and masks. Despite how they would have been portrayed, they absolutely should have been wearing masks. Minimal cost security measure, at the expense of ribbing from the media and antifa, but many of them would be free right now, if their idealism and image weren't as important as their pragmatism.

The alt right was a very successful movement that had a great momentum to it, and would've gob on to do wonders if it wasn't stopped.

I think they were primarily a foil and a tool to misdirect and then tear down the nascent populist energy brewing in America. I don't think they did their job, except temporarily. Maybe I'm wrong though.

It would've been a time of enlightenment if not for the fall of the alt right in the eyes of its most ardent supporters, and that was a facilitated fall from grace, don't get me wrong here. First, there was the matter that we wanted perfection from its main figures, we were looking for a reason to doubt or abandon them, and we were given it amply, we should've accepted that they'd be deeply flawed in some way, and kept with them just because they were still so effective at getting things done.

Their mistake was their ideological focus, which is what made it if not easy, at least straightforward, to discredit them.

The left and the right act to legitimize each other . Thats the function of their infighting, the false parties system. Anyone that tries to join, however perfect for one of the parties--anyone who isn't invited and doesn't belong , doesn't even get invited. Doesn't get debated by the other side . Gets little air time. They're essentially person non-grata, a ghost.

What was needed was not an alt-right, but radical alt-center. A "reboot" of the parties. A clash of both right and left.

Instead we got the squad in congress, which means it would be a hard sell now to get our own 'alt left' setup to re-legitimize the alt-right, but the mechanics of it remain the same: The depth and breadth of the debate and infighting between the parties, attracts eyeballs, and defines the sliding window of legitimacy, without which a group doesn't politically matter, unless its 40-50 years old+ and further right than the neo-DNC (GOP) rats claim to be, i.e. the tea party before being co-opted.

We should've treated them the way effective politicians were treated, where their failings were kept far away from their ability to produce the changes we wanted to see, instead we put the parts of them we didn't approve of front and center, and then we distanced ourselves from them with a sense of pride, by doing that, we had confidently shot ourselves in the foot.

I think its more like the leftwing media did that for us. Because again, we're not controlling the debate, the narrative, or the perceptions. When we have people on all sides, it makes it harder for them to do that, because it makes the parties look weak when they tear down their own. Its why the DNC stopped attacking the squad, when they realized what it was doing to them.

In any case this is all political bullshit, and doesn't functionally matter, because the occupation legitimized its coup (really ongoing for years, in congress and the rest of the u.s.), and is basically operating with impunity at this point.

Same thing with the riots, we should've done what golden dawn had seen great success in doing, by going to those who suffer from the effects of the problems we want to solve and help them out in a very public way, showing that we see the things everyone is trying to look away from or excuse out of their minds, and we actually care about making these things better, that goes a long way.

Its good that you examine what other organizations do, and what works and what doesn't. Very pragmatic.

We need to form an psyops group that studies psychology the way the enemy has, and finds ways to reverse engineer their methods of mind control so that they could be used effectively by us and for our cause.

Just ape their strategies and tactics, minus the violence. You can't solve a problem with the same level of thinking that it created it, but you can grind it to a standstill and stalemate. And theres far more of us than them in that regard.

We don't have to be smarter than them. We just have to work as hard as they do, and last longer than they do. Thats all.

"Build the wall" as it were, and let them proverbially claw, and smash their way to peices against it.

Last is that we need a mecia presence, we need to focus on getting people with short attention span to watch the stuff we produce, and keep their minds tickled with mental reactions to what we produce.

I think the online sphere is overrated, and overcooked at this point, serving as little more than backdrop for discussion (and definitely not recruitment) and as a passive means of passing along information or video of events that happen in real life. Its not a two way funnel anymore. Its lost that aspect for the most part. The physical affects the virtual, the middle and its attitudes, but it doesn't let us draw on them any more, not really. Not when they can turn the thumbscrews, and cut off message boards, social media, recruitment, donations, organizations, and so on.

So theres the question of, if we're not doing it for recruitment, donations, or broader organization, what are we using it for then? And the answer is: organization among ourselves , and using real world events to influence the public passively, not unlike the media does now. And thats pretty much the limit.

We need to find presenters with the right voices and sense of humor, we need to find artists with the right style and quality.

Agreed.

Voices but not leadership.

Figureheads but not politicians

Icons without representatives.

And then we reverse engineer it to do the same, but for our own message instead, then we apply what we had learned, and to do that, we need writers that can make something subversive, that the normies would watch and recommend to others, without fully realizing what it is, but still getting the subtextual implications that affects how think of things, program their minds to come to our conclusions and believe it was their own doing.

I agree fully.

Or just copy ifunny. Go where the people are, and make your organization or movement a meme.

↓ expand content