Your analogy doesn't make sense when comparing the death rate of vaccinated and unvaccinated covid deaths. Both of them "won the lottery" and one group has a significantly higher death rate. That means that getting vaccinated and then catching covid increases your chance of death.
No. Look.
Take 20,000 people. 10,000 of them are not given a vax(A), 10,000 are given a vax(B).
5000 of group A then develop covid symptoms, of which 50 die (1% of 5000 but 0.5% of 10000)
2000 of group B develop covid symptoms, of which 30 die. (1.5% of 2000 but 0.3% of 10000)
What you’re looking at is the 1% in group A and 1.5% group B, giving the illusion that the vaccinated group have a higher death rate when the reality is 60% fewer people died within the vaccinated group.
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