It’s a subset of a subset so of course the percentage probability will increase after the first criteria has been met.
It’s like saying what are the chances of winning the lottery and then rolling a 6 on a dice? Not very high. One in six million.
But what is the chance of a lottery winner rolling a 6? One in six.
With the CDC's history, you cannot trust the 5,800 number. They are a marketing arm of big pharma. They openly stated they were going to use 28 PCR cycles to test for "breakthroughs" with vaccinated people, while leaving PCR tests for non-vaccinated at the default 40 cycles. 28 cycles creates 4000x less detectable material than 40 cycles. That's only the numbers gaming that they admitted to officially. You can bet that there is more. The CDC is not honest.
What is important here is that of the 5,800 breakthroughs they admitted, 1.3% died. That's a higher death rate than COVID, and, according to their numbers, means the vaccines make you sicker if you catch COVID. They claimed it lessened symptoms.
The numbers do not add up, and that's never a good sign. You should assume they are gaming all of the numbers and the truth is being withheld, not analyze their numbers on face value! With the CDC, don't believe their numbers. Look for discrepancies, question, and if things look fishy, exercise extreme caution, because it probably smells fishy for a reason.
You are wasting your time with this guy he rejects any data that doesn't agree with his opinion.
I accept the data but I reject the conclusion drawn from its analysis. I’ve given a detailed explanation below as to how you’re analysing the data incorrectly.
https://poal.co/s/News/362631/821e5bd3-98bb-49ae-b36e-94cd21d292ba#cmnts
Your analogy doesn't make sense when comparing the death rate of vaccinated and unvaccinated covid deaths. Both of them "won the lottery" and one group has a significantly higher death rate. That means that getting vaccinated and then catching covid increases your chance of death.
No. Look.
Take 20,000 people. 10,000 of them are not given a vax(A), 10,000 are given a vax(B).
5000 of group A then develop covid symptoms, of which 50 die (1% of 5000 but 0.5% of 10000)
2000 of group B develop covid symptoms, of which 30 die. (1.5% of 2000 but 0.3% of 10000)
What you’re looking at is the 1% in group A and 1.5% group B, giving the illusion that the vaccinated group have a higher death rate when the reality is 60% fewer people died within the vaccinated group.
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