I may be talking into the wind here, and probably no one will read this.
The US Military runs on supply lines and proper equipment maintenance. That's what wins wars. We've seen examples of this over and over in the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Improperly maintained vehicles and no supply lines. The Russians are getting their asses kicked and they are a paper tiger. They are now a laughingstock of the world.
The US Military equipment that was left behind will cease to function within a short amount of time. Vehicles and helicopters need maintenance. Guns need ammunition. You have a Blackhawk helicopter? You need to replace a special bearing seal every 1000 hours of flight that can only be sourced by US military contractors and is subject to export restrictions? Good luck. That stuff is all controlled and very expensive. That helicopter, even if you had a trained pilot for it, is now scrap metal. This stuff requires CONSTANT maintenance by trained technical people. Example: The US Navy has 11 aircraft carrier battle strike groups, but at any one time, only about 7 or 8 of them are actually deployed. The rest are rotated out for maintenance. This is planned and normal. Any military that does not do this will fail when the time is critical.
Read up on a critical maintenance failure of the Russian invasion force in these twitter threads, by experts in the field:
https://nitter.net/trenttelenko/status/1499164245250002944
https://nitter.net/TrentTelenko/status/1499763286392385541#m
https://nitter.net/nachristakis/status/1499192223694524417?lang=en
https://nitter.net/trenttelenko/status/1499453178127036422?lang=en
https://nitter.net/trenttelenko/status/1499586032886558722?lang=en
In short, a tire expert weighs in on the Russian convoy failures. The sidewalls of the tires of Russian military vehicles were ripping out when they went offroad in the mud. This is because they were not properly maintained. You can't just park a military truck for years and hope that it will work when you need it. The US military has standard practice that all vehicles are started, allowed to warm up, and driven a short distance so that the tires don't develop flat spots. This has to be done ONCE A WEEK on thousands of vehicles. Then you have normal maintenance. Even if a vehicle isn't driven, the tires will be degraded by the sun's UV and will eventually develop dry rot. You have to replace the tires every few years even if the vehicle isn't driven. And those tires, hundreds of thousands of them, cannot be manufactured overnight when you need them. They have warehouses full of tires and other critical spare parts. In Russia, they were stolen by supply sergeants and sold on the black market for years and years, instead of being replaced as needed. So no maintenance was done, and the vehicles failed in great numbers. We are also seeing that they used cheap shoddy Chinese tires, which are also failing in large numbers. There was a picture shared on Twitter of a Russian vehicle with a tire that had a date stamp of 1994!
This is ONE example out of many, just looking at tires. Now multiply this by the thousands of critical parts on a helicopter or an airplane, and you begin to get the picture. Sure, it was a travesty that the military left behind a bunch of equipment that the Taliban requisitioned. But they won't be able to make use of most of it, at least not for long.
And don't get me started on personnel training. They like to point at Blackhawk helicopters. How many untrained, illiterate desert people could get into a cockpit of a Blackhawk and even be able to start it up? Let alone successfully fly it. It takes thousands of hours to train a pilot.
Pretty interesting stuff alright in those russian vehicle threads. Russia clearly has endemic chronic supply/ Maintenance and corruption issues. I notice those threads are all from march (one month into the SMO) guess very fortunate for Ukraine or it could've been much worse.
(post is archived)