That's only part of the equation, but most of the special payments have ended at this point. Other analyses suggest that many that could retire did, many took that extra money and re-evaluated (staying home to care for family, etc.) and that many decided to strike out on their own. That took a lot of people out of the labor pool. It's not really a shortage that can be solved by people coming back to work, it's a matter of there are no more people that want jobs. It's just churn.