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[–] 1 pt (edited )

I ran it by someone close to me who tends to trust authority. The answer back was 'we know it's bad because hospitals are full, medical workers are putting in overtime hours, and there's a shortage of ventilators.'

I really don't know enough to argue that authoritatively. You would think with how many people are sick with flu or die from flu on a normal year vs how many infected/dead from Wuhan, the additional strain would barely be noticeable. But people are reporting different things in different places. Maybe ventilator shortages are due to stressed supply chains rather than overuse of them, or maybe the respiratory element of this virus is a unique aspect we weren't prepped for in our normal flu season.

Either way, seems to be blown way out of proportion. But I wonder if people will ever come to terms with that. It would be so embarrassing to admit we all got fooled on this scale, so maybe that viewpoint will become just another conspiracy theory, and we'll be chided about "social distancing" and coughing into our elbows next flu season and every one after.

[–] 1 pt

In most places the hospitals are not full. In my state 65% of ICU beds are occupied. How many are normally occupied? That figure was not released. Regardless that seems like a lot of available beds.

They aren't even testing most Americans. Most people with symptoms are simply told to stay home. So how are any of these projections even remotely accurate?

I'm sure places like New York City which have dense population will indeed have issues with overcrowding at hospitals. Most places however are not like New York City and there is no reason to treat the whole country the same.

[–] 1 pt

I agree and his is well argued. There are some people I may just not be able to get it through to, which is frustrating.