Thank you for your response, and something I have definitely pondered as well.
Time will tell
The reason I asked how much you are investing is that it is directly relevant, if you want to make a couple hundred dollars or up toward a few thousand under $10,000 on money that you are totally willing and able to lose, I think it is a decent investment.
If you are investing thousands and looking to hold to get big gains to make tens/hundreds of thousands, that is a seriously risky play you are making and there are much better alternatives for long term/larger gains. If I was doing the first one, I would invest now, wait until the next large run on all coins, once BTC nears its old ATH I would sell. That should see a return within your predicted range.
I would never invest thousands in a cryptocurrency. I don't feel comfortable sharing how much I have invested, but it is a small amount I am comfortable with potentially losing.
Thank you for your concern and advice though
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