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How far will Bitcoin drop before it starts trending up again long term?

How far will Bitcoin drop before it starts trending up again long term?

$30k, again
$20k
$10k
$0
It will climb now, long term
Fuck You
Fuck You!

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I think people will panic sell every $10k increment it his. We saw huge dips when it dipped below 50k and 40k, and it hasn't recovered to it's high since. I think it will grow long term, but will be extremely volatile in the short term.