The fact that this data comes from the US military is significant, as they were not affected by the lockdowns very much.
I think the effect of "lockdowns" is overestimated. Perhaps it's just because in my state, things pretty much carried on as normal with gyms, theaters, restaurants and other stuff like that being closed. People were still going outside. People were still going to work. Yeah, a lot of people went to "remote working", but the vast majority of the workforce is required to be physically present in order to do work. This is the case with the military- there were not entire units locked into their barracks or bases for a months upon months. And a base is basically a little town, so it makes a great sample to study in general.
It is strange that he didn't mention data for 2021 though; according to his projections, that would be very important data, because it could essentially confirm what he's claiming- if in 2021, we saw another 500-1,000%ish increase, then it's a done fucking deal.
The military was still affected. He said “all morbidities,” which includes vehicle accidents, casualties of battle, every type of illness, etc. Whether soldiers were directly locked down, it definitely had an impact on the society around them which would have had the potential to add to their total morbidities.
I agree that the numbers coming from the military gives them more significance than coming out of, say, a local health department, but the fact remains that 2020 was not a normal year by any means, and the fact that he’s comparing this year’s numbers to 2020 and not any other year or even an average of recent years just leads me to believe that he’s being deliberately deceptive about their significance.
This is the case with the military- there were not entire units locked into their barracks or bases for a months upon months.
A majority of military service people are not soldiers and do not live on base, and were directly affected by lockdowns, and their statistics would still be included in what’s being discussed
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