Welcome • User Guide
ToS • Privacy • Canary
Donate • Bugs • License

©2025 Poal.co

1.1K

is a graph of NTSB investigations for Boeing and Airbus with all recorded incidents. Yes, I know I'm "trusting the science" with NTSB. So they have a system called which allows you to query investigations and includes investigations not completed.

Here's a chart since 2015 with total incidents involving Boeing and Airbus with low/high outlier limits. I scaled up the 2024 value for a full year and that last point is a bullshit number. If we believe the bullshit number then Boeing is on track for a normal year and Airbus is on track for a good year.

Anyhow, I have more confidence in Boeing than Airbus based on this. Boeing is generally around 100/year for their fleet without too much upward variation except for 2023. Airbus has three times as many "bad years" in this range, and a bad year for Airbus looks more off of trend than Boeing's single bad year. You have to account for the different fleet sizes - there is not a 1:1 population ratio between Airbus and Boeing. Last I checked the 737-800 was the most common airplane in the sky. This chart does not account for severity - an open cargo door counts as much as a nose-dive into the ocean. Of course you can't have many incidents when the FAA grounds all of your 737-MAX, so who knows.

[Pic related](https://www.imgbly.com/ib/9i3VqzrUQ5.png) is a graph of NTSB investigations for Boeing and Airbus with all recorded incidents. Yes, I know I'm "trusting the science" with NTSB. So they have a system called [CAROL](https://data.ntsb.gov/carol-main-public/landing-page) which allows you to query investigations and includes investigations not completed. Here's a chart since 2015 with total incidents involving Boeing and Airbus with low/high outlier limits. I scaled up the 2024 value for a full year and that last point is a bullshit number. If we believe the bullshit number then Boeing is on track for a normal year and Airbus is on track for a good year. Anyhow, I have more confidence in Boeing than Airbus based on this. Boeing is generally around 100/year for their fleet without too much upward variation except for 2023. Airbus has three times as many "bad years" in this range, and a bad year for Airbus looks more off of trend than Boeing's single bad year. You have to account for the different fleet sizes - there is not a 1:1 population ratio between Airbus and Boeing. Last I checked the 737-800 was the most common airplane in the sky. This chart does not account for severity - an open cargo door counts as much as a nose-dive into the ocean. Of course you can't have many incidents when the FAA grounds all of your 737-MAX, so who knows.

(post is archived)

You are currently inside a comment thread.
Click here to see all the comments (18).
[–] • 0 pt

Yeah, I've been saying it for years on here that they're trying to restrict our freedom of movement in a lot of different ways. Fear is one of the most effective ways of doing that...

Absolutely. (((covid))) proved that fear will motivate people into self-restricting their movement and assembly. Fear of air accidents will enable them to keep Whites from traveling and organizing in person. These are not simply DEI incompetence cohencidences. This is a coordinated effort to make us afraid to fly. They did that with the pilots dropping dead and moved the Overton Window to DEI niggers so we don't get complacent in our fear...like we did with (((covid))).