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Here's what I think.

Absolutely: Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas

High chance: Texas, Oklahoma

Likely: West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida

Maybe: Missouri, North Carolina

Slim chance: Kansas

This is without going into detail the various other states that could be split in two.

Here's what I think. Absolutely: Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas High chance: Texas, Oklahoma Likely: West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida Maybe: Missouri, North Carolina Slim chance: Kansas This is without going into detail the various other states that could be split in two.

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[–] • 2 pts

I'd be fine with letting city states break off. So long as the remaining country declares them as hostile to the Constitution and shuts down all roads and highways and encircles the cities and starves them to death using the National Guard. I'm good with allowing blue cities to starve to death. 100% serious.