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Here's what I think.

Absolutely: Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas

High chance: Texas, Oklahoma

Likely: West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida

Maybe: Missouri, North Carolina

Slim chance: Kansas

This is without going into detail the various other states that could be split in two.

Here's what I think. Absolutely: Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas High chance: Texas, Oklahoma Likely: West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida Maybe: Missouri, North Carolina Slim chance: Kansas This is without going into detail the various other states that could be split in two.

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[–] • 1 pt

Don't count out the Midwestern states