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What if China simply announced it is taking Taiwan and moves troops in ?

The U S could simply do nothing , except maybe deliver a strongly worded speech or two.

The U S could send Carrier groups etc , and engage , but what if they suffer major defeats ?

Our allies must be trying to figure out why they should stay allies .

Whuch ya think faggots ?

What if China simply announced it is taking Taiwan and moves troops in ? The U S could simply do nothing , except maybe deliver a strongly worded speech or two. The U S could send Carrier groups etc , and engage , but what if they suffer major defeats ? Our allies must be trying to figure out why they should stay allies . Whuch ya think faggots ?

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[–] • 1 pt

You don't think like a Chink.

They don't need to move all 2MM troops in. They just need to move enough in to start the long festering Taiwan civil war. I think that their ability to act as massive carrier is overrated, because it is based on our tech, which is overrated and still has to be operated by bugmen. Half the fleet gone in the attack? I think the CCP likes those odds. The good news for us is that their weather window will close at the end of this month, so if we get through the next couple of weeks, the CCP won't have a window to attack again until April.

It's like Ukraine. It only ends one way -- Ukraine loses. The question is, how bad and how much do we end up losing in the process? With Taiwan, I could see us surging 1-2 CVBGs and them getting their shit pushed in and having a chat with Davy Jones. At that point, it doesn't matter how many dozens of bugmen we shot down in the process. We've shit away trillions in hardware and trained men for nothing, and they've spent maybe a hundred million.

What do we do then? We talk a bunch of shit, we park three more CVBGs 1000 km away on the other side of Japan, talk some more shit, tell the nips to do something, and then "impose sanctions."

The only question that matters is if the CCP takes Taiwan without wrecking the semiconductor plants.

[–] • 1 pt

Yeah, the Chinese definitely think like the Russians (...or the other way around...) They won't care how many tens of thousands die. Meanwhile, we'll lose our minds over a supply ship going down. (Not to minimize the loss of lives.) We're not mentally ready for that war.

I think 'sanctions' are likely all Biden would ever consider. Whatever the hell that means. Fewer Chinese hooker/spies allowed into the US?

Good point about the window closing.

[–] • 0 pt

I cant see a way the US, Japan and Australia dont get involved. You think the military industrial complex is going to miss out on that sweet warfare welfare that a war like that would bring? China would have to blockade Taiwan to prevent the MID from getting weapons in. They cant do it without forcing America to get directly involved. If Taiwan has open supply lines, China will not be able to get air supremacy. If China cant take over the sky, they have absolutely no chance of getting any number of troops across the straight, much less on to the beaches and getting a forward operating base set up. None of this even takes into account the horrible age demographic issues china has.

[–] • 0 pt

I think that when enough of our whiz-bang defense welfare shit gets demolished in the first week, the defcontractors will be the ones telling .mil to lay off, to protect their own reputations. They make money killing defenseless people. They haven't had a fair fight in 70 years and don't want to start now.