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If the elite are capable to exterminate people by unleashing an artificial pandemic and fake deadly vaccines, they obviously are able to start the atomic war. As usual, they won't be bombing their capital cities in order to stay alive, killing all the rest of people who live in other cities.

If the elite are capable to exterminate people by unleashing an artificial pandemic and fake deadly vaccines, they obviously are able to start the atomic war. As usual, they won't be bombing their capital cities in order to stay alive, killing all the rest of people who live in other cities.

100% likely probability
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0% likely probability

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There will never be a nuclear war unless all world superpowers and their allies become full-on dictatorships run by suicidal fanatics that would happy bring about their own (very preventable) death for some ideological victory. Even then, anti-air countermeasures have at this point reached a level where anything short of a hypersonic missile that randomly and drastically changes its direction in-flight would be able to make it anywhere close to a target while transporting the nuke.