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What is the math formula to estimate this?

What is the math formula to estimate this?

(post is archived)

[–] 2 pts

Agreed. Maybe OP's question is how many times as likely you are to be murdered by an immigrant as compared to the rate if they didn't murder more than the rest of the population. You'd expect 6% to be responsible for 6% of the murders, so 40%/6% = 6.7 times as likely as you "should" be.