The USA feeds almost half the world.
There is no shortage of food.
Transportation, however, is another matter entirely.
Transportation is highly disrupted.
Just in time inventory management has all but collapsed. It is highly stressed at the moment.
Driver availability is an issue, as is rising fuel costs. Delays loading and offloading, etc.
This was always the fear related to Just in time systems.
Disruption in any single component fucks up the entire system.
Choke points in the system become clogged with undelivered supplies, leaving gaps and voids in other areas.
Back in the cold war days we kept three years of supplies in storage at all times.
Warehouses packed to the brim.
Nowadays warehousing is not for long term storage so much as flow through storage. It's just what you are expected to use up in the near future.
You can somewhat offset the disruption effect by carrying inventory on your end. Like stockpiling food in your house, for example.
I just moved out closer to the source of the food. I buy very little from supermarkets these days. Maybe once every other month or so. I still like toilet paper as much as the next first world citizen.
I haven't started gardening yet, but that too is probably going to happen.
My line of work we specialize (specialized) in JIT. Supply chains are fucked. No product, nobody to drive product that is available. Ocean lines backed up, air backed up. Fucked.
I suspect a combination of effects, but at least part of it is probably deliberate.
Real covid virus has a half life of 18 hours or so, at room temperature, in the shade. Say some Chinese worker coughs covid onto a product that is then sealed warm, safe, and dry, in a cardboard package and shipped overseas. After 21 days or so days there is no detectable trace of any virus contamination. So you keep the packages backlogged in the system, sitting in boxes, waiting to move. It has the same effect as a deliberate quarantine policy, without the official enforcement burden. No need to inspect every package either, just delay the whole ship.
Just like black plague times.
So what do you do if the virus is already in your country? Same thing, just gum up the shipping of everything back and forth. Delay delay delay, everything. This cuts any virus spread via surface contamination down to zero.
I started trucking back when Just-In-Time was beginning. Companies used to have huge stockpiles of food and goods, but that warehousing costs were really high.
At about the same time, the Department of Transportation came up with the CDL and increased regulations on drivers. A perfecxt storm was brewing and it may soon hit the fan all due to government regulation crimping the transportation sector. Just-In-Time becomes Oh-Fucking-Well.
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