How's that? Humans don't have all, most, or even many of the laws of the universe in their databases.
So you're agreeing that the complete AI takeover will take much longer than we anticipate? Because human innovation is basically combining the laws of the universe to give humans higher level of existence/consciousness. We already have the rudimentary understanding of the laws of physics, the question remains how much there is to know that'll determine how quickly the AI can take over. But my understanding certainly is that we don't know jack shit.
So you're agreeing that the complete AI takeover will take much longer than we anticipate?
Depends on what you mean by "we". Following the the fastest supercomputers at top500.org I've calculated on three occasions years apart that in 2035 there will exist a computer capable of emulating a human brain entirely in CAD. On one hand we may find a better way, on the other hand we'll probably run into some difficulties no matter what the approach. That's before considering how much of the human mind is devoted to things that are already more efficiently done with computers and to maintaining a body.
So to be middle of the road between optimism and pessimism I think a strong AI will be built around 2035. But that AI will be buggy, incomplete, and require enormous amounts of electricity and other overhead. You need 7 more doublings (about 14 years) for that to shrink and mature down from what only a superpower can afford to what a small business can. So call that 2045 for computers to be well on their way to taking over complex administrative and other tasks requiring a sophisticated understanding of humans and the world, innovation, transfer of skills and awareness, human level communication, and so forth.
How long do you think it will take?
I'll bow down to the AI when its existence is basically like having a demi-god among us. However, I predict that a technological advancement is not the issue here for giving birth to the god-tier AI, but it'll be the human ego that will hinder its birth. The existence of such AI will be a threat to all the high level human entities, and they'll do everything they can to cripple the AI so it'll only be at the level of a glorified slave to them. We'll be misled to believe that the complete AI has been born when it's not completely autonomous as they say. We'll know without a shred of doubt when the completely autonomous AI is born because it'll radically shift everything to completely align us with the laws of the universe. I predict that at least it won't be within this century, since I believe we'll keep getting false reports about the "real AI".
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