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There was a post on here about plywood's price going up 2.5x over the course of about a year, .

The question is why hasn't this happened with McDonnald's ice cream cones, or two litter soda. I'm not spending four bucks on a two litter of soda. I'm spending closer to a buck.

Inflation is happening. But it is important to understand what low interest rates do to specific things.

Low interest rates = increase in home values. Increase in home values equals an increase in margin between a home and the cost of building. And increase in the margin equals more home construction. More home construction with a temporary huge margin equals a run on building supplies.

The scary part. More home construction equals more immigration. Somebody has to live in those homes. In 2006 was the housing spike (before the housing crash in 2008). It was also the peak of immigration under the Bush era. Low interest rates caused that spike in available housing. Whites moved into the new houses. Hispanics moved into the then abandoned neighborhoods.

End the Fed. You will not win anything until you take that tool away from them.

There was a post on here about plywood's price going up 2.5x over the course of about a year, [here](https://poal.co/s/MildlyAlarming/340907). The question is why hasn't this happened with McDonnald's ice cream cones, or two litter soda. I'm not spending four bucks on a two litter of soda. I'm spending closer to a buck. Inflation is happening. But it is important to understand what low interest rates do to specific things. Low interest rates = increase in home values. Increase in home values equals an increase in margin between a home and the cost of building. And increase in the margin equals more home construction. More home construction with a temporary huge margin equals a run on building supplies. The scary part. More home construction equals more immigration. Somebody has to live in those homes. In 2006 was the housing spike (before the housing crash in 2008). It was also the peak of immigration under the Bush era. Low interest rates caused that spike in available housing. Whites moved into the new houses. Hispanics moved into the then abandoned neighborhoods. End the Fed. You will not win anything until you take that tool away from them.

(post is archived)

[–] • 4 pts

Pretty good synopsis, but home demand is sky high because urbanites are working remotely and fleeing major metro areas. Taco niggers aren't buying $250k+ homes, they're drunk building them.

[–] • 3 pts

Gonna be a real shock when they're called back to the office. Not as many companies are going to stay remote as people think.

[–] • 2 pts

They're all fretting the coof when they should be afraid of the criminal nogs they let loose upon themselves and the violence they have been encouraging.

[–] • 2 pts

I have to disagree. I'm guessing you're not in the construction trades. If it was inflation caused by a building boom, you'd see similar increases in fasteners, piping, fixtures, wire, receptacles, tools, and more. This isn't happening.

What your seeing isn't inflation (there is inflation but it's relatively minor). What your seeing is price instability. This is far worse than inflation. Price instability means any random thing could suddenly become unaffordable. Once this happens, people start hording what is available forcing even more price/supply instability.

[–] • 1 pt

I guess I'm arguing against it being inflation. The post I linked to said it was inflation. I'm saying that there is more to it.

Something to consider with fasteners is that they are metal. Home construction is not the largest user of metal, and so a multi-fold increase in the amount of metal used in home construction isn't going to have a large impact on its price because it's only a 10% increase, maybe. But plywood.. it's main market is homes, not just as a finished product but also for its source material.

Relevant absurd thing I heard today. Some dude was arguing that it was smart to invest in semiconductors because of electric vehicles. A standard car uses about 100 semiconductors. An electric car 300. Wow. A 3 fold increase. Except that most semi-conductors don't go into cars anyway, and 300 is still tiny in semiconductor terms. Point is that home construction can't raise the price of metal as easily as it can for wood.

[–] • 0 pt

I get what you're saying and it's a great point that plywood and dimensional lumber are basically only used for housing.

What I'm saying is that while metal isn't any more expensive (maybe 10% or so but that's inflation) there are only a few manufactures who turn metal into nails, screws, bolts, etc. I don't have any boxes handy but tomorrow I'll check and I suspect with the exception of specialty screws like Spax and StrongTie the rest are probably made in China. This would mean they're even more limited in supply right now than things like plywood which I believe is mainly created in the U.S. Power tools, especially the new brushless variety, all have ICs in them and I haven't seen any price spike or lack of availability. Other materials like fiberglass insulation, roofing shingles, tile, and cement all seem to be at about the same price as a few years ago. In short, I'm not seeing any other construction related price spike in build material or construction related products.

Last time I noticed, a lot of my plywood had Georgia-Pacific stamped on it. This is the same conglomerate that makes tons of paper products like toilet paper, paper towels, and printer paper. I haven't noticed big price spike in any of their other wood products. In my mind, that implies the price of wood or saw mill operation hasn't changed.

The price for housing in my area has spiked dramatically. Especially considering no one want to be a land lord right now with the eviction moratoriums and the absolute devastation of small business means plenty of property will be up for foreclosure in the near future. I can only assume this is funny money from wall street skewing the market. I think the same thing is happening with plywood and dimensional lumber. I don't know if you remember when wall street was doing it's with aluminium, but this make more sense than to me than a building boom.

[–] • 1 pt

beetles breed faster in a warmer climate

https://qz.com/1985276/america-is-running-short-of-wood/

. .

More home construction equals more immigration

correct, they aren't building new homes for White children, they are only intended to house more fast breeding niggers. Oppose all housing developments

[–] • 1 pt

Exactly the same is happening in Australia. Every dickhead is building a house at the moment. I'm just hoping rates rise a few points, no one will be able to afford their mortgage and everyone else can then buy a cheap house. Need to lose the immigrants too though.

[–] • 1 pt

You hit the nail on the head, my friend. Such a shame that more people don’t realize this.

[–] • 0 pt

Agreed: end the fed.

[–] • 0 pt

Keep your pants on, ...inflation is coming.

[–] • 0 pt

No one has mentioned the flooding. You cannot pull logs from the forests if it rains too much. This happens seasonally. Three weeks ago, the last time I checked, any type of white oak hardwood or veneer was completely unavailable in my area. Not sold at a higher price. Completely unavailable for a short while until the lumber mills catch up. This happens seasonally. This time last year nothing was coming out of any of the mills in the Carolinas due to the flooding there.

So add that natural cycle to all of the coronavirus bullshit and you have your answer.

[–] • 0 pt

Are you pricing your goods in Dollars or in BTC? All prices are falling precipitously if you price them in BTC. The collapse is happening right now and it is including the dollar itself.

[–] • 0 pt

If we end the fed now the whole economy goes into free fall. We MUST be able to continue to print money out of thin air and force our allies to take it because we don't have a real production economy like China does.

Its too late.

Just keep your assets in anything other than the dillar and be ready when it goes down.