Announcements
Anything
AskPoal
Funny
Gaming
Gifs
History
News
Pics
Poaldev
Politics
Science
Strange
technology
TIL
Videos
Search is disabled.
You have to level up first.
link
text
poll
JavaScript is disabled or this browser is too old
JustICE must be served
ALL
TOP
1W
1M
6M
1Y
ALL
TOP
1W
1M
6M
1Y
Log in
Register
Donate
Welcome
•
User Guide
ToS
•
Privacy
•
Canary
Donate
•
Bugs
•
License
©2024 Poal.co
ᐊ
page 44
ᐅ
699
News
•
‘These Biological Males Are Just Taking It Away From Us’: High School Girl Athlete Blasts Biden Administration For Abandoning Her Lawsuit | The Daily Wire
68
1.3K
IMG
Vax
•
FULLY conned [701x692 - 46KB]
14
193
News
•
Gorilla Glue Girl Tessica Brown's GoFundMe LOCKED and under investigation for ‘fraud’ after claims hair mare was a stunt
93
1.0K
SiteBans
•
TallestSkil has been banned for gaming votes with alts and pushing calls to violence
500
1.5K
IMG
memes
•
Womyn in Politics [1125x1124 - 98KB]
62
1.5K
[deleted]
News
•
Pope Francis prays for homeless man who died in freezing cold near St. Peter’s Square instead of using the Billions of dollars the church has to do something about it before he died.
68
1.3K
IMG
Truthhurts
•
Just Start Your Own Bank [1024x949 - 128KB]
27
1.0K
▶︎
History
•
Congressman Sony Bono Was the Only Man to Question Janet (lesbian) Reno About the MURDER of Children at Waco
43
181
Whatever
•
Due to the times and the circumstances we face, I was denied my opportunity to live a happy care free life.
183
1.3K
[deleted]
▶︎
Funny
•
Ma’am 2021
118
1.4K
IMG
Jewspiracy
•
Nothing more, nothing less [872x1280 - 305KB]
6
190
▶︎
Funny
•
Send More Goyim
Redditors are getting absolutely WRECKED for volunteering in Ukraine: "you are operation 'Human Shield''. This video is an absolute kekfest.
97
921
IMG
History
•
Communism was invented by bankers [500x863 - 81KB]
28
289
Funny
•
White people when they realize blacks can’t swim
71
409
RealWhatever
•
Family is segregating me now:)
128
509
[deleted]
QPatriots
•
All the police in Minnesota should walk out immediately.
34
377
IMG
onlinecomics
•
Not Out of the Woods Yet - Stonetoss [1500x500 - 454KB]
40
1.2K
IMG
voat
•
Who remembers when this happened? [1000x5840 - 4.22MB]
53
834
IMG
USPolitics
•
Texas patriots winning! [1440x1480 - 159KB]
15
1.0K
IMG
Funny
•
Mailman's worst nightmare [828x862 - 633KB]
20
1.1K
IMG
Strange
•
Building collapse in Miami is looking Sus [575x411 - 45KB]
69
1.1K
IMG
Pics
•
Spotted In Irvine California [1080x907 - 157KB]
68
898
IMG
Politics
•
She really does care [613x282 - 24KB]
26
584
Videos
•
When it all starts to make sense
23
1.2K
Politics
•
BREAKING: Deposition Shows Seth Rich Communicating With Wikileaks And Requesting Payment...FBI Memory-Holed Data
28
ᐊ
page 44
ᐅ
Sticky Post
Here is the process: [3072x4080 - 1MB]
Today's Top Posts
Fuckin Clownworld [2046x1739 - 2MB]
in
/s/fatpeoplehate
Here is the HT yenta befor her nose job [671x697 - 118KB]
in
/s/jews
4 out of 5 doctors can't answer an introductory statistics question Doctors are midwits maintaining a medieval guild system, not geniuses
in
/s/Health
My God, Wtf
in
/s/PedosExposed
Those Published “17,000 Hydroxychloroquine Deaths” Never Happened ⋆ Brownstone Institute
in
/s/CoronaVirus
Today's Top Coms
Every person in that room supporting, showing and CHEERING for this should probably be criminally investigated. There is a good chance a lot of them are up to things they should not be involving kids.
10pts
The value that the doctors SHOULD have been calculating is the PPV (Positive Predictive Value) (See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative_predictive_values) This is a probability that given a positive test result that the test is a True Positive. This is calculated as: PPV = sensitivity x prevalence / (sensitivity x prevalence + (1-specificity) x(1-prevalence)) In the sample question, you don't really have enough information to calculate this exactly, as they only give the "False Positive Rate", this allows the calculation of specificity (1 - FPR) as 0.95. The sensitivity is not defined, lets just assume for the sake of the example that the sensitivity (1 - FNR) is also 0.95. So.... PPV = (0.95 x 0.001) / (0.95 x 0.001 + (1 - 0.95) x (1 - 0.0001)) PPV = 0.018664 i.e. Given the prevalence of the disease, the likelihood that a positive test result represents a TRUE positive is: 1.8% Even if you assume that the sensitivity of the test is 99.5%, the PPV still comes out around 16%. It's a bit of a silly question, as the data required to actually calculate the answer isn't supplied (you need the False Negative Rate as well as False Positive Rate to do the calculations properly. Tests rarely include this required information though). A test with a sensitivity as low as 95% should only ever be used as a screening test, never as a diagnostic test. Basically, you want something that is very sensitive, but with the possibility of a high False Positive Rate which is used as a screening test, combined with a follow up test that has a much higher specificity (very low False Positive Rate). Only when the confirmatory test comes back positive can you make any conclusions about the diagnosis (even then, you should be doing the PPV calculation to determine the likelihood that the positive result is a True positive. I was running a rough calculation of PPV during the main panic stages of COVID, when they were doing mass testing and reporting the results daily. During most of it, the PPV, as per my calculations (which did have some assumptions, as the specific accuracy details of the tests were not disclosed and the prevalence had to be somewhat inferred by the number of positive test results), was running around 10%. So, when they were saying that they tested 50k people, and found 75 "cases", probably 90% of those "cases" were false positives. I'm not a doctor, not even very good at math.
9pts
"Influencers" are the same as most of the music, media, etc. They are not found, they are not amazing at what they do. They are "created". It is all corporate and has been for decades. This is well known with the "boy" and "girl" bands, with the "Asian" bands (sorry, don't care about the names). It is all fake. This was probably staged in some way or was intended to in the future and if not? A opportunity was noticed and taken advantage of. There is very little that is real anymore unless you see it for yourself. Some amazing people will never rise to the top because they are not part of the system. I sound like a crazy person but take it for what you will. I doubt I am wrong.
9pts
That's as sick as it is old. Years ago, old. Still, sick as.
8pts
Daily Sub
Politics
Politics
Random Sub
Jewgle
Google: White Genocide, One Search at at Time.
![FULLY conned [701x692 - 46KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/JPp44b.jpg){kind=link}
![Womyn in Politics [1125x1124 - 98KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/oKmmsv.jpg){kind=link}
![Just Start Your Own Bank [1024x949 - 128KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/sDCxsp.jpg){kind=link}
![Nothing more, nothing less [872x1280 - 305KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/mnuvjv.jpg){kind=link}
![Communism was invented by bankers [500x863 - 81KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/cuZFRO.jpg){kind=link}
![Not Out of the Woods Yet - Stonetoss [1500x500 - 454KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/lGC6nG.png){kind=link}
![Who remembers when this happened? [1000x5840 - 4.22MB]](https://pic8.co/sh/4ba1bR.jpg){kind=link}
![Texas patriots winning! [1440x1480 - 159KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/pqZhLo.jpg){kind=link}
![Mailman's worst nightmare [828x862 - 633KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/HNEmMY.png){kind=link}
![Building collapse in Miami is looking Sus [575x411 - 45KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/QP4fjY.jpg){kind=link}
![Spotted In Irvine California [1080x907 - 157KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/Olekwt.jpg){kind=link}
![She really does care [613x282 - 24KB]](https://pic8.co/sh/faIDSD.png){kind=link}